27 days left
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$24.4K
1,534 trades
Smart Whales
47
of 214 traders
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
7 MARKETS · $84.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting
0¢+15¢$4.2K3/17by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting+15¢0¢
$4.2K3/17
by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting
0¢+8¢$7.5K2/24by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting+8¢0¢
$7.5K2/24
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting
85¢−49¢$41.3K20/35No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting−49¢85¢
$41.3K20/35
by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting←
16¢+14¢$24.4K15/35by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting←+14¢16¢
$24.4K15/35
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs32 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 67%
+3 new YES$30+3 new NO$62
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $352 is directional: YES $343·NO $9YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
61.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$678(-59.7%)
Whales
15
V
vieuxtemps🥇hedged
Entry 81¢·414.3 shares·also $178 on NO
Invested
$334
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-267
$-267INV $334 · WR 58.6%
R
ryzt🥈
Entry 30¢·991.2 shares
Invested
$295
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-131
$-131INV $295 · WR 66.5%
N
nicholasflamel🥉hedged
Entry 70¢·237.7 shares·also $131 on NO
Invested
$165
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-127
$-127INV $165 · WR 61.2%
P
podairpod
Entry 68¢·170.2 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $116 · WR 60.0%
F
firegold
Entry 32¢·298.6 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $96 · WR 59.7%
T
tinman2
Entry 25¢·77.8 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $19 · WR 65.8%
S
Sardonic-Cue◆Proven
Entry 23¢·50 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 79.1%
W
walkwithyourboy
Entry 34¢·30.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $10 · WR 56.5%
L
light.t
Entry 16¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 62.4%
D
Dr.mett
Entry 28¢·7.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 88.4%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
78.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+37.4%)
Whales
32
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 59¢·1,212.4 shares
Invested
$718
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$300
+$300INV $718 · WR 72.2%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 72¢·888 shares
Invested
$642
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $642 · WR 79.5%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 57¢·745.5 shares
Invested
$429
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$197
+$197INV $429 · WR 87.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 79¢·355.2 shares
Invested
$281
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $281 · WR 89.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 55¢·472.1 shares
Invested
$261
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$135
+$135INV $261 · WR 85.9%
V
vieuxtempshedged
Entry 43¢·414.2 shares·also $334 on YES
Invested
$178
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$170
+$170INV $178 · WR 58.6%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 43¢·387.2 shares
Invested
$165
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$160
+$160INV $165 · WR 55.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 51¢·266 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $136 · WR 87.7%
N
nicholasflamelhedged
Entry 55¢·237.7 shares·also $165 on YES
Invested
$131
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $131 · WR 61.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 70¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $111 · WR 85.7%
Showing top 10 of 32
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 669ms