taut-dogwood · Polymarket wallet 0x8deb…7062

Wallet snapshot

taut-dogwood has made 19,298 trades on Polymarket across 570 markets, $2.6M in volume. Most of it is in economics (61%) and politics (12%). On 539 resolved markets the win rate is 95.7%, lifetime P&L +$49K. It holds 24 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?". Last trade: Oct 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?No · $9,249 · 98¢ → 100¢
• Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes · $8,313 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $5,935 · 96¢ → 97¢
• Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?No · $1,701 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?No · $1,295 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?No · $785 · 78¢ → 79¢
• Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?No · $729 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes · $388 · 82¢ → 78¢
• Will the Bank of Korea cut by 50 bps or more at the October 2026 meeting?No · $279 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $268 · 95¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes · +$3 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?No · +$0 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No · +$14 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No · +$6 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No · +$53 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes · +$2 · Oct 6, 2026

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