20 days left
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?
YES Price
65¢
65% implied
NO Price
35¢
35% implied
Volume
$34.0K
1,476 trades
Smart Whales
46
of 240 traders · 1 on both sides
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
7 MARKETS · $103.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting
0¢+7¢$6.6K2/28by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting+7¢0¢
$6.6K2/28
by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting
0¢+9¢$7.8K2/20by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting+9¢0¢
$7.8K2/20
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting
30¢−8¢$31.1K10/36No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting−8¢30¢
$31.1K10/36
by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting←
65¢−38¢$34.0K12/33by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting←−38¢65¢
$34.0K12/33
by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting
5¢−1¢$8.6K1/26by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting−1¢5¢
$8.6K1/26
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs34 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 89% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 74%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$326+15 new NO$133
$51 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$12 of $1.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.1K·NO $140YES Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$485(+26.5%)
Whales
13
F
firegold🥇
Entry 54¢·1,395 shares
Invested
$753
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$160
+$160INV $753 · WR 59.7%
6
6idontknow123451334🥈hedged
Entry 93¢·301 shares·also $96 on NO
Invested
$280
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $280 · WR 61.7%
V
vino1234🥉
Entry 74¢·300.4 shares
Invested
$222
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $222 · WR 61.7%
E
exothetajunkie
Entry 68¢·244.7 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $166 · WR 59.7%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 64¢·256 shares·also $149 on NO
Invested
$165
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $165 · WR 55.2%
N
nicholasflamel
Entry 16¢·713.4 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$368
+$368INV $113 · WR 61.2%
W
WeFoundLove
Entry 52¢·80 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $42 · WR 67.4%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $40 · WR 70.0%
A
anonymoususer10hedged
Entry 10¢·60 shares·also $100 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $6 · WR 70.4%
S
Sardonic-Cue◆Proven
Entry 37¢·8.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 79.1%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
82.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-36.8%)
Whales
34
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 80¢·1,136.4 shares
Invested
$907
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-503
$-503INV $907 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 52¢·792.8 shares
Invested
$412
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-130
$-130INV $412 · WR 79.5%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 69¢·404 shares
Invested
$277
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-134
$-134INV $277 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 53¢·360 shares
Invested
$192
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $192 · WR 85.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 82¢·198.1 shares
Invested
$162
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-92
$-92INV $162 · WR 89.3%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 79¢·189.1 shares·also $165 on YES
Invested
$149
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $149 · WR 55.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 58¢·247.8 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $143 · WR 72.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 81¢·156.7 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $127 · WR 89.0%
A
anonymoususer10hedged
Entry 50¢·200 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$100
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $100 · WR 70.4%
6
6idontknow123451334hedged
Entry 18¢·522.1 shares·also $280 on YES
Invested
$96
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $96 · WR 61.7%
Showing top 10 of 34
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