20 days left
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?
YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$31.1K
1,564 trades
Smart Whales
48
of 268 traders · 2 on both sides
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
12 MARKETS · $323.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting
0¢+7¢$6.6K2/28by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting+7¢0¢
$6.6K2/28
by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting
0¢+9¢$7.8K2/20by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting+9¢0¢
$7.8K2/20
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting←
30¢−8¢$31.1K10/36No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting←−8¢30¢
$31.1K10/36
by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting
65¢−38¢$34.0K12/33by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting−38¢65¢
$34.0K12/33
by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting
5¢−1¢$8.6K1/26by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting−1¢5¢
$8.6K1/26
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
7¢+31¢$93.6K28/46No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting+31¢7¢
$93.6K28/46
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting
96¢−60¢$60.9K27/49No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting−60¢96¢
$60.9K27/49
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
95¢−69¢$25.8K8/23No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting−69¢95¢
$25.8K8/23
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting
85¢−49¢$41.3K20/35No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting−49¢85¢
$41.3K20/35
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting
27¢−15¢$9.2K2/15No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting−15¢27¢
$9.2K2/15
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs37 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 91% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 78%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$25+7 new NO$56
$25 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$81 of $1.6K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $1.3K·NO $138YES Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
61.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$784(-41.6%)
Whales
13
F
firegold🥇
Entry 78¢·1,523.9 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-716
$-716INV $1.2K · WR 59.7%
C
CAQZeroSeats◆Proven🥈
Entry 30¢·938.1 shares
Invested
$279
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $279 · WR 63.6%
N
nicholasflamel🥉hedged
Entry 48¢·259.4 shares·also $341 on NO
Invested
$123
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $123 · WR 61.2%
A
anonymoususer10hedged
Entry 52¢·225 shares·also $23 on NO
Invested
$118
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $118 · WR 70.4%
T
tinman2
Entry 87¢·50 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $44 · WR 65.8%
V
vino1234hedged
Entry 9¢·310.7 shares·also $381 on NO
Invested
$29
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $29 · WR 61.7%
M
Mithrandir.hedged
Entry 44¢·40 shares·also $31 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $18 · WR 70.0%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 82¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 68.4%
Showing top 8 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
74.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.2K(+49.5%)
Whales
37
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 43¢·2,160 shares
Invested
$938
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$574
+$574INV $938 · WR 79.5%
P
podairpod🥈
Entry 41¢·1,116.9 shares
Invested
$459
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$323
+$323INV $459 · WR 60.0%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 33¢·1,310.3 shares
Invested
$438
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$479
+$479INV $438 · WR 87.6%
V
vino1234hedged
Entry 64¢·596.5 shares·also $29 on YES
Invested
$381
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $381 · WR 61.7%
N
nicholasflamelhedged
Entry 131¢·259.4 shares·also $123 on YES
Invested
$341
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-159
$-159INV $341 · WR 61.2%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·571.9 shares
Invested
$286
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$114
+$114INV $286 · WR 79.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 44¢·592.2 shares
Invested
$261
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$154
+$154INV $261 · WR 89.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 44¢·384.7 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$101
+$101INV $168 · WR 79.6%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 49¢·337.6 shares
Invested
$164
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $164 · WR 55.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 47¢·328.1 shares
Invested
$155
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $155 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 10 of 37
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