Economics39 days left
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YES Price
83¢
83% implied
NO Price
17¢
17% implied
Volume
$43.6K
1,567 trades
Smart Whales
68
of 264 traders
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
13 MARKETS · $290.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting
98¢−67¢$29.1K12/27No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting−67¢98¢
$29.1K12/27
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting
4¢+26¢$33.6K17/40No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting+26¢4¢
$33.6K17/40
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting
54¢−24¢$20.5K12/28No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting−24¢54¢
$20.5K12/28
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
30¢−1¢$35.2K16/39No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting−1¢30¢
$35.2K16/39
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+30¢$7.0K7/16by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+30¢0¢
$7.0K7/16
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+20¢$12.2K6/24by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+20¢0¢
$12.2K6/24
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting←
83¢−43¢$43.6K27/41No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting←−43¢83¢
$43.6K27/41
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
16¢+9¢$45.0K15/45by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+9¢16¢
$45.0K15/45
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
1¢+11¢$20.4K4/30by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+11¢1¢
$20.4K4/30
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
91¢−66¢$13.5K6/18No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting−66¢91¢
$13.5K6/18
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting
72¢−42¢$27.3K11/26No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting−42¢72¢
$27.3K11/26
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
27 YESvs41 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 96%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$1.0K+13 new NO$87
$87 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.5K is directional: YES $4.4K·NO $20YES Team
Total Invested
$8.1K
Avg Win Rate
68.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+22.3%)
Whales
27
F
firegold🥇
Entry 85¢·3,134.6 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $2.7K · WR 60.1%
I
InterestingUser🥈
Entry 52¢·2,214.8 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$687
+$687INV $1.2K · WR 64.3%
V
vino1234🥉hedged
Entry 63¢·1,503 shares·also $934 on NO
Invested
$950
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$297
+$297INV $950 · WR 62.1%
S
st.eliot
Entry 64¢·1,255.4 shares
Invested
$807
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$235
+$235INV $807 · WR 89.5%
C
Constancefung
Entry 84¢·785.3 shares
Invested
$663
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-267
$-267INV $663 · WR 83.3%
N
nicholasflamel
Entry 61¢·498.1 shares
Invested
$305
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $305 · WR 59.6%
P
Pepe1234567
Entry 89¢·224.7 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $201 · WR 64.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 20¢·995.6 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$612
+$612INV $199 · WR 87.7%
O
OneMore1
Entry 53¢·367.1 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $195 · WR 90.9%
P
podairpodhedged
Entry 16¢·717 shares·also $547 on NO
Invested
$117
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$478
+$478INV $117 · WR 60.3%
Showing top 10 of 27
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.3K
Avg Win Rate
76.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.8K(-45.1%)
Whales
41
V
vino1234🥇hedged
Entry 73¢·1,288 shares·also $950 on YES
Invested
$934
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-715
$-715INV $934 · WR 62.1%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 50¢·1,432.6 shares
Invested
$717
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-473
$-473INV $717 · WR 85.8%
P
podairpod🥉hedged
Entry 76¢·717 shares·also $117 on YES
Invested
$547
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-425
$-425INV $547 · WR 60.3%
K
korda77
Entry 49¢·1,075.1 shares
Invested
$530
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-347
$-347INV $530 · WR 85.0%
J
JordanMooney
Entry 49¢·931 shares
Invested
$452
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-293
$-293INV $452 · WR 86.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 49¢·754.1 shares
Invested
$367
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-239
$-239INV $367 · WR 88.1%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 49¢·436.9 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-140
$-140INV $215 · WR 78.6%
H
highstakebet
Entry 48¢·418.4 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-129
$-129INV $200 · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 35¢·381.8 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $133 · WR 71.9%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 20¢·333.3 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $68 · WR 88.2%
Showing top 10 of 41
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