Yawning-Entertainment · Polymarket wallet 0xc440…28b2

Wallet snapshot

Yawning-Entertainment has made 514 trades on Polymarket across 166 markets, $24K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (43%) and economics (21%). On 158 resolved markets the win rate is 75.9%, lifetime P&L +$938. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?No · $176 · 95¢ → 98¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No · $97 · 99¢ → 97¢
• No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $95 · 95¢ → 95¢
• US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?No · $94 · 94¢ → 94¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $91 · 92¢ → 91¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No · $87 · 84¢ → 87¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $80 · 80¢ → 80¢

Latest closed positions

• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?No · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$3 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?No · +$10 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?No · +$4 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes · +$29 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · +$62 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.