Economics15 days left
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$49.2K
2,610 trades
Smart Whales
65
of 292 traders
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
7 MARKETS · $185.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement
0¢+24¢$20.4K8/26by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement+24¢0¢
$20.4K8/26
by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement←
15¢+27¢$49.2K27/37by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement←+27¢15¢
$49.2K27/37
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement
85¢−48¢$62.1K28/47Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement−48¢85¢
$62.1K28/47
by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement
0¢+22¢$23.7K8/28by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement+22¢0¢
$23.7K8/28
by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement
0¢+43¢$10.5K13/17by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement+43¢0¢
$10.5K13/17
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
28 YESvs37 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 16 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$102+12 new NO$845
$98 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.0K is directional: YES $1.9K·NO $63YES Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
70.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.1K(-50.4%)
Whales
28
A
AMike🥇
Entry 44¢·2,380.7 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-696
$-696INV $1.0K · WR 68.8%
M
melonmanm◆Proven🥈
Entry 35¢·810.1 shares
Invested
$280
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-163
$-163INV $280 · WR 69.6%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 20¢·1,104.2 shares
Invested
$221
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $221 · WR 87.7%
E
exothetajunkie
Entry 40¢·501.6 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-128
$-128INV $200 · WR 59.7%
S
sweetj
Entry 16¢·325.8 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $53 · WR 75.0%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 15¢·296 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $45 · WR 55.3%
R
RajahSingh
Entry 33¢·62.7 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $21 · WR 56.2%
A
Affectionate-Monger
Entry 14¢·134.3 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 79.1%
N
neverhackme
Entry 12¢·116.8 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $14 · WR 75.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 41¢·10.7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 10 of 28
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.1K
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+17.4%)
Whales
37
K
korda77🥇
Entry 68¢·1,395.1 shares
Invested
$948
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$240
+$240INV $948 · WR 85.2%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥈
Entry 71¢·1,205.3 shares
Invested
$858
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$168
+$168INV $858 · WR 79.2%
M
merod🥉
Entry 57¢·1,489 shares
Invested
$848
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$420
+$420INV $848 · WR 84.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 85¢·610.2 shares
Invested
$519
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $519 · WR 86.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 89¢·510.1 shares
Invested
$454
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $454 · WR 88.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 59¢·721.9 shares
Invested
$424
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$190
+$190INV $424 · WR 89.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 85¢·470 shares
Invested
$399
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $399 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 73¢·432 shares
Invested
$314
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $314 · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 82¢·318.1 shares
Invested
$259
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $259 · WR 88.7%
E
EconProf
Entry 86¢·46.1 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $40 · WR 85.7%
Showing top 10 of 37
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