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Economics34 days left

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
41¢
41% implied
NO Price
59¢
59% implied
Volume
$76.9K
1,765 trades
Smart Whales
68
of 287 traders

Bank of Canada Decision in December?

9 MARKETS · $210.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

22 YESvs46 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 63%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$1.1K+12 new NO$687
$267 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.1K is directional: YES $1.0K·NO $30
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
65.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$37(+3.3%)
Whales
22
F
firegold🥇
Entry 36¢·1,000 shares
+$25INV $360 · WR 59.5%
D
data-sync🥈
Entry 39¢·768.7 shares
$-4INV $300 · WR 75.0%
P
podairpod🥉
Entry 40¢·396.6 shares
$-6INV $158 · WR 59.2%
A
ajtor
Entry 35¢·150 shares
+$5INV $53 · WR 57.9%
G
GirlOnFire
Entry 49¢·100 shares
$-11INV $49 · WR 64.2%
S
sweetj
Entry 45¢·87 shares
$-6INV $39 · WR 74.4%
N
needwork
Entry 44¢·80 shares
$-5INV $35 · WR 66.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 20¢·50 shares
+$9INV $10 · WR 87.7%
F
FreeCityIndividualProven
Entry 17¢·50 shares
+$11INV $9 · WR 63.8%
N
new-account-test222
Entry 45¢·10 shares
$-1INV $5 · WR 64.3%
Showing top 10 of 22

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 32% YES: the Bank of Canada increase the target…