Economics79 days left
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?
YES Price
40¢
40% implied
NO Price
60¢
60% implied
Volume
$2.0K
173 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 67 traders
Bank of Canada Decision in December?
7 MARKETS · $47.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement
0¢+12¢$11.0K3/23by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement+12¢0¢
$11.0K3/23
by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement
38¢−5¢$23.3K16/32by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement−5¢38¢
$23.3K16/32
by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement
1¢−1¢$1.1K0/13by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement−1¢1¢
$1.1K0/13
by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement←
40¢−14¢$2.0K5/14by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement←−14¢40¢
$2.0K5/14
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement
54¢−13¢$7.8K7/10Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement−13¢54¢
$7.8K7/10
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs14 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 75%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$101+5 new NO$47
$39 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $124 is directional: YES $124·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$165
Avg Win Rate
62.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$14(-8.5%)
Whales
5
P
podairpod🥇
Entry 47¢·240.3 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $114 · WR 60.3%
M
maomao228🥈hedged
Entry 42¢·80 shares·also $64 on NO
Invested
$34
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $34 · WR 65.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥉
Entry 50¢·18.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 68.9%
M
Majas
Entry 46¢·15.7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 73.5%
1
1w5am5160ltg
Entry 60¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 66.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$505
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$73(+14.4%)
Whales
14
V
vino1234🥇
Entry 49¢·324.1 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $159 · WR 62.1%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 59¢·112.4 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $66 · WR 79.2%
M
maomao228🥉hedged
Entry 64¢·100 shares·also $34 on YES
Invested
$64
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $64 · WR 65.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $40 · WR 85.7%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·70 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $35 · WR 85.8%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·70 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $35 · WR 87.5%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·68 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $34 · WR 89.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $30 · WR 89.4%
G
god83743894
Entry 56¢·37.9 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $21 · WR 85.3%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 78.6%
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