Economics79 days left
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?
YES Price
54¢
54% implied
NO Price
46¢
46% implied
Volume
$7.8K
410 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 103 traders
Bank of Canada Decision in December?
5 MARKETS · $13.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement
2¢−2¢$1.4K0/10by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement−2¢2¢
$1.4K0/10
by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement
4¢+3¢$1.2K1/13by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement+3¢4¢
$1.2K1/13
by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement
40¢−14¢$2.0K5/14by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement−14¢40¢
$2.0K5/14
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs10 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 43% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 54%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$648+25 new NO$757
$188 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $589 is directional: YES $250·NO $339YES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
63.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$181(+11.6%)
Whales
7
I
InterestingUser🥇
Entry 50¢·1,924 shares
Invested
$960
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$70
+$70INV $960 · WR 64.3%
V
vino1234🥈
Entry 46¢·602.3 shares
Invested
$280
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $280 · WR 62.1%
P
podairpod🥉
Entry 50¢·395 shares
Invested
$196
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $196 · WR 60.3%
M
maomao228hedged
Entry 56¢·140 shares·also $40 on NO
Invested
$78
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $78 · WR 65.2%
J
Jesetrading
Entry 25¢·200 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $50 · WR 67.3%
B
big-bird1
Entry 53¢·5.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 68.2%
O
ogi250
Entry 52¢·2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$581
Avg Win Rate
76.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$98(-16.9%)
Whales
10
D
DuneMentat🥇
Entry 73¢·437.4 shares
Invested
$318
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-115
$-115INV $318 · WR 72.7%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 36¢·186 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $68 · WR 85.3%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·105.5 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $53 · WR 79.2%
M
maomao228hedged
Entry 50¢·80 shares·also $78 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $40 · WR 65.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·76 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $38 · WR 87.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 37¢·64.3 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $24 · WR 88.7%
M
Majas
Entry 51¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $20 · WR 73.5%
L
Lucerys
Entry 41¢·35 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $14 · WR 85.8%
Z
zua
Entry 37¢·10 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 85.1%
B
Brave-Timbale-Witch
Entry 47¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 64.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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