Economics37 days left
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
YES Price
38¢
38% implied
NO Price
62¢
62% implied
Volume
$23.3K
1,342 trades
Smart Whales
47
of 201 traders · 1 on both sides
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
7 MARKETS · $92.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement
0¢+31¢$11.0K8/18by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement+31¢0¢
$11.0K8/18
by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement←
38¢−2¢$23.3K17/30by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement←−2¢38¢
$23.3K17/30
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement
63¢−30¢$36.3K17/34Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement−30¢63¢
$36.3K17/34
by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement
0¢+28¢$14.8K8/21by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement+28¢0¢
$14.8K8/21
by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement
0¢+47¢$4.1K9/10by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement+47¢0¢
$4.1K9/10
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs32 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 68% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 69%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$43+7 new NO$61
$57 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$7 of $383 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $257·NO $119YES Team
Total Invested
$376
Avg Win Rate
67.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$384(+102.3%)
Whales
16
S
sweetj🥇
Entry 16¢·441.7 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $72 · WR 75.8%
M
melonmanm🥈
Entry 24¢·284 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $68 · WR 69.9%
V
vieuxtemps🥉
Entry 13¢·493.2 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$127
+$127INV $63 · WR 59.6%
S
Spectrum
Entry 11¢·266.3 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $30 · WR 60.9%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 37¢·33.6 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $12 · WR 68.9%
O
oneoftheppl
Entry 8¢·53.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $4 · WR 63.6%
1
1walrushedged
Entry 14¢·26.6 shares·also $34 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $4 · WR 64.4%
R
RajahSingh
Entry 14¢·22.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $3 · WR 57.0%
A
aliiz
Entry 4¢·42.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $2 · WR 67.6%
A
anonymoususer10
Entry 6¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $1 · WR 70.9%
Showing top 10 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.1K
Avg Win Rate
83.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$730(-14.4%)
Whales
32
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 82¢·641.1 shares
Invested
$528
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-128
$-128INV $528 · WR 87.7%
K
korda77🥈
Entry 85¢·560 shares
Invested
$478
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-129
$-129INV $478 · WR 85.0%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 70¢·661.1 shares
Invested
$462
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $462 · WR 88.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 90¢·504.1 shares
Invested
$453
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-139
$-139INV $453 · WR 85.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 85¢·511.3 shares
Invested
$437
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-118
$-118INV $437 · WR 71.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 59¢·711.9 shares
Invested
$418
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $418 · WR 89.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 89¢·409.2 shares
Invested
$365
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $365 · WR 79.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 60¢·581.1 shares
Invested
$349
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $349 · WR 79.3%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 82¢·316.6 shares
Invested
$258
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $258 · WR 88.8%
H
highstakebet
Entry 68¢·341.7 shares
Invested
$231
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $231 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 10 of 32
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