22 days left
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?
YES Price
78¢
78% implied
NO Price
22¢
22% implied
Volume
$47.7K
2,142 trades
Smart Whales
69
of 290 traders
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
12 MARKETS · $355.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting
42¢−16¢$32.0K13/37No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting−16¢42¢
$32.0K13/37
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
10¢+29¢$100.5K30/47No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting+29¢10¢
$100.5K30/47
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting
95¢−55¢$64.0K34/50No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting−55¢95¢
$64.0K34/50
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
76¢−42¢$32.5K13/25No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting−42¢76¢
$32.5K13/25
by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting
0¢+19¢$4.4K4/17by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting+19¢0¢
$4.4K4/17
by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting
0¢+11¢$11.4K3/24by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting+11¢0¢
$11.4K3/24
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting←
78¢−42¢$47.7K21/37No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting←−42¢78¢
$47.7K21/37
by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting
21¢+17¢$34.1K20/33by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting+17¢21¢
$34.1K20/33
by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting
0¢+8¢$10.0K2/23by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting+8¢0¢
$10.0K2/23
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting
33¢−20¢$11.5K3/20No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting−20¢33¢
$11.5K3/20
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs48 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 85%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$4.9K+51 new NO$1.0K
$343 of this was bought on both sides by the same 15 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales17 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8.5K is directional: YES $8.4K·NO $88YES Team
Total Invested
$9.0K
Avg Win Rate
61.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$211(+2.3%)
Whales
21
F
firegold🥇
Entry 75¢·9,820.3 shares
Invested
$7.3K
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-161
$-161INV $7.3K · WR 59.7%
P
podairpod🥈
Entry 75¢·873.9 shares
Invested
$659
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $659 · WR 60.0%
1
14ffff🥉hedged
Entry 59¢·411.8 shares·also $510 on NO
Invested
$243
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $243 · WR 83.3%
G
Gummy-Casserole
Entry 78¢·220 shares
Invested
$171
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $171 · WR 75.8%
F
FUTBALL
Entry 84¢·200 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
75.1%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $167 · WR 75.1%
B
bhdtshbgdsxfhedged
Entry 55¢·244.7 shares·also $153 on NO
Invested
$135
Win Rate
83.6%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $135 · WR 83.6%
F
FishHunterhedged
Entry 32¢·311.4 shares·also $227 on NO
Invested
$99
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$144
+$144INV $99 · WR 71.3%
N
nicholasflamelhedged
Entry 31¢·144 shares·also $107 on NO
Invested
$44
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $44 · WR 61.2%
S
Subdued-Pasta◆Proven
Entry 47¢·47 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $22 · WR 85.5%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 78¢·15.2 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
78.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.3K(-31.9%)
Whales
48
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 37¢·1,701.3 shares
Invested
$635
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-261
$-261INV $635 · WR 72.2%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 38¢·1,387.4 shares
Invested
$533
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-228
$-228INV $533 · WR 79.6%
1
14ffff🥉hedged
Entry 66¢·770.8 shares·also $243 on YES
Invested
$510
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-341
$-341INV $510 · WR 83.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 25¢·1,317.8 shares
Invested
$328
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $328 · WR 87.7%
F
FishHunterhedged
Entry 73¢·311.4 shares·also $99 on YES
Invested
$227
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-159
$-159INV $227 · WR 71.3%
G
god83743894
Entry 38¢·477.7 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $181 · WR 85.7%
R
ryzt
Entry 16¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $160 · WR 66.5%
B
bhdtshbgdsxfhedged
Entry 61¢·249.7 shares·also $135 on YES
Invested
$153
Win Rate
83.6%
Position P&L
$-98
$-98INV $153 · WR 83.6%
N
nicholasflamelhedged
Entry 75¢·144 shares·also $44 on YES
Invested
$107
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $107 · WR 61.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 28¢·343.5 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $95 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 10 of 48
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