YES Price
92¢
92% implied
NO Price
8¢
8% implied
Volume
$242.9K
5,021 trades
Smart Whales
143
of 556 traders
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
5 MARKETS · $546.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting
0¢+41¢$25.8K20/29Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting+41¢0¢
$25.8K20/29
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting
9¢+20¢$178.1K31/76Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting+20¢9¢
$178.1K31/76
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting
0¢+61¢$14.1K25/16Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting+61¢0¢
$14.1K25/16
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
63 YESvs80 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 40 YES vs 18 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 95%· net of hedges
+49 new YES$12.8K+40 new NO$1.1K
$855 of this was bought on both sides by the same 17 buyers — left out of momentum
10 smart whales18 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $29.8K is directional: YES $28.6K·NO $1.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$32.6K
Avg Win Rate
67.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$8.6K(+26.6%)
Whales
63
F
firegold🥇
Entry 75¢·23,530.5 shares
Invested
$17.7K
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$3859
+$3859INV $17.7K · WR 59.7%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven🥈
Entry 91¢·4,384.7 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $4.0K · WR 90.9%
Q
QMG-CORE🥉
Entry 91¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $1.4K · WR 81.2%
6
6idontknow123451334
Entry 46¢·1,891.7 shares
Invested
$863
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$868
+$868INV $863 · WR 62.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 24¢·3,561.8 shares·also $2.8K on NO
Invested
$845
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$2415
+$2415INV $845 · WR 55.3%
A
AnonTet◆Proven
Entry 89¢·900 shares
Invested
$804
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $804 · WR 65.0%
G
Gummy-Casserole
Entry 92¢·739.7 shares
Invested
$681
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $681 · WR 75.8%
W
Winninghumbly
Entry 94¢·630 shares
Invested
$592
Win Rate
95.7%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $592 · WR 95.7%
N
nicholasflamelhedged
Entry 27¢·1,932 shares·also $2.0K on NO
Invested
$531
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$1237
+$1237INV $531 · WR 61.2%
P
Pepe1234567
Entry 90¢·556.7 shares
Invested
$503
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $503 · WR 64.4%
Showing top 10 of 63
NO Team
Total Invested
$34.9K
Avg Win Rate
74.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$19.9K(-57.0%)
Whales
80
B
Bigggggggg🥇
Entry 37¢·16,138 shares
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-4677
$-4677INV $6.0K · WR 85.8%
P
podairpod🥈
Entry 108¢·3,139.9 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-3117
$-3117INV $3.4K · WR 60.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 45¢·7,063.6 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-2559
$-2559INV $3.2K · WR 85.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 46¢·6,336.9 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-2396
$-2396INV $2.9K · WR 79.2%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 79¢·3,561.8 shares·also $845 on YES
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-2499
$-2499INV $2.8K · WR 55.3%
N
nicholasflamelhedged
Entry 106¢·1,932 shares·also $531 on YES
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-1878
$-1878INV $2.0K · WR 61.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 44¢·3,884.5 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1388
$-1388INV $1.7K · WR 79.6%
E
exothetajunkie
Entry 37¢·1,516.7 shares
Invested
$560
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-431
$-431INV $560 · WR 59.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 24¢·1,262.1 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-193
$-193INV $300 · WR 88.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 27¢·1,118.8 shares
Invested
$298
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-203
$-203INV $298 · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 80
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