๐Ÿ‹OrcaLayer
Sign In
Economics89 days left

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$2.74M
41,580 trades
Smart Whales
281
of 3,370 traders ยท 2 on both sides

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

13 MARKETS ยท $53.80M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

99 YESvs184 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars ยท 49 YES vs 50 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%ยท net of hedges
+8 new YES$3+3 new NO$78
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer โ€” left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$240 of $3.6K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $2.9KยทNO $462
YES Team
Total Invested
$6.3K
Avg Win Rate
68.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.9K(-45.5%)
Whales
99
T
Trading4Fridge๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 5ยขยท10,139.2 shares
$-514INV $533 ยท WR 57.6%
4
0x4e25605f...๐Ÿฅˆhedged
Entry 8ยขยท4,532.3 sharesยทalso $120 on NO
$-331INV $340 ยท WR 69.4%
D
donthackme๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 8ยขยท4,317.1 shares
$-323INV $332 ยท WR 87.6%
M
mombilProven
Entry 8ยขยท3,478.7 shares
$-282INV $289 ยท WR 60.4%
C
Capital-Endoderm
Entry 4ยขยท3,000 shares
$-125INV $131 ยท WR 60.6%
B
BikesarethebestProven
Entry 3ยขยท4,540.6 shares
$-122INV $131 ยท WR 56.1%
C
CompulsiveGambler
Entry 12ยขยท1,058.2 shares
$-125INV $127 ยท WR 68.3%
C
Copezilla
Entry 0ยขยท24,992.5 shares
$-52INV $100 ยท WR 70.5%
B
benbenben233
Entry 16ยขยท593.6 shares
$-97INV $98 ยท WR 67.6%
M
Metusalem
Entry 1ยขยท16,141.2 shares
$-54INV $86 ยท WR 64.4%
Showing top 10 of 99

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 402ms
Smart money 34% YES: 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026