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Economics89 days left

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$2.95M
28,808 trades
Smart Whales
323
of 2,965 traders ยท 2 on both sides

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

13 MARKETS ยท $53.80M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

124 YESvs201 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars ยท 60 YES vs 45 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%ยท net of hedges
+14 new YES$33+10 new NO$128
$30 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer โ€” left out of momentum
3 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$98 of $9.4K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $8.0KยทNO $1.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$11.7K
Avg Win Rate
61.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.7K(-66.0%)
Whales
124
T
Trading4Fridge๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 10ยขยท42,348.2 shares
$-4233INV $4.4K ยท WR 57.6%
M
mr-green-tea๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 25ยขยท2,000 shares
$-494INV $500 ยท WR 65.1%
M
mihailk๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 25ยขยท1,600 shares
$-395INV $400 ยท WR 68.2%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 8ยขยท4,777.7 sharesยทalso $47 on NO
$-364INV $378 ยท WR 69.4%
M
mombilProven
Entry 25ยขยท1,215.1 shares
$-299INV $303 ยท WR 60.4%
B
Bloombergg
Entry 27ยขยท1,000 shares
$-267INV $270 ยท WR 61.4%
C
Copezilla
Entry 2ยขยท14,796 shares
$-219INV $263 ยท WR 70.5%
Q
Qwe66
Entry 30ยขยท766 shares
$-227INV $229 ยท WR 67.9%
H
haruk098
Entry 8ยขยท1,905 shares
$-146INV $152 ยท WR 76.0%
B
BikesarethebestProven
Entry 3ยขยท4,826 shares
$-128INV $143 ยท WR 56.1%
Showing top 10 of 124

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 40% YES: 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026