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Economics17 days left

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$5.93M
7,763 trades
Smart Whales
256
of 1,250 traders · 1 on both sides

Fed Decision in October?

9 MARKETS · $33.60M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

36 YESvs221 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 20 YES vs 89 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+33 new YES$91+39 new NO$17.2K
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales17 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$0 of $41.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4.9K·NO $36.6K
YES Team
Total Invested
$7.1K
Avg Win Rate
71.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.5K(-64.0%)
Whales
36
5
50-Pence🥇
Entry 12¢·17,000 shares
$-2078INV $2.1K · WR 58.9%
O
OrbitSugarFree🥈
Entry 21¢·2,999.9 shares
$-616INV $620 · WR 84.8%
J
Jordi.123🥉
Entry 0¢·166,666.7 shares
$-275INV $517 · WR 71.4%
J
JordanMooneyProven
Entry 16¢·2,341.4 shares
$-372INV $376 · WR 85.7%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 15¢·2,412.5 shares
$-368INV $372 · WR 84.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 20¢·1,723.5 shares
$-342INV $345 · WR 87.7%
H
HolyMoses7Proven
Entry 10¢·2,566 shares
$-256INV $260 · WR 77.6%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 12¢·1,197.9 shares
$-142INV $143 · WR 88.1%
U
Unwilling-Maggot
Entry 0¢·12,776.7 shares
$-21INV $40 · WR 57.4%
A
Affectionate-Monger
Entry 21¢·133 shares
$-28INV $29 · WR 79.1%
Showing top 10 of 36

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 14% YES: the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+…