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Economics25 days left

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$3.71M
6,160 trades
Smart Whales
152
of 776 traders

Fed Decision in October?

9 MARKETS ยท $25.28M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

40 YESvs112 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 58% YES by dollars ยท 25 YES vs 28 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%
+10 new YES$742+39 new NO$24.5K
1 smart whale20 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $22.2K is directional: YES $12.9KยทNO $9.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$15.1K
Avg Win Rate
73.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$11.9K(-78.6%)
Whales
40
X
XAE12Archangel๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 17ยขยท49,199 shares
$-8426INV $8.5K ยท WR 77.3%
5
50-Pence๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 12ยขยท17,000 shares
$-2061INV $2.1K ยท WR 58.9%
I
Irboz-sama๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 0ยขยท287,439.6 shares
+$144INV $575 ยท WR 66.3%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 15ยขยท2,412.5 shares
$-366INV $372 ยท WR 85.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 20ยขยท1,723.5 shares
$-340INV $345 ยท WR 87.6%
C
cryingbabydicer87
Entry 20ยขยท1,394 shares
$-275INV $279 ยท WR 57.1%
H
HolyMoses7Proven
Entry 6ยขยท3,066 shares
$-180INV $188 ยท WR 77.6%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 12ยขยท1,197.9 shares
$-140INV $143 ยท WR 88.5%
J
JordanMooneyProven
Entry 10ยขยท941.4 shares
$-96INV $99 ยท WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 11ยขยท482.1 shares
$-50INV $51 ยท WR 87.0%
Showing top 10 of 40

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 26% YES: the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+โ€ฆ