m00n · Polymarket wallet 0x3f02…a51c

Wallet snapshot

m00n has made 26,630 trades on Polymarket across 213 markets, $6.0M in volume. Most of it is in economics (28%) and politics (26%). On 196 resolved markets the win rate is 68.4%, lifetime P&L +$36K. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will there be no Hormuz agreement?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will there be no Hormuz agreement?No · $714 · 11¢ → 5¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $24 · 20¢ → 0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $20 · 20¢ → 0¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $3 · 20¢ → 0¢
• Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes · $2 · 3¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No · +$28K · Oct 15, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · +$395 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$1,700 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · -$474 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$2,139 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.