Economics17 days left
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YES Price
95¢
95% implied
NO Price
5¢
5% implied
Volume
$64.0K
2,301 trades
Smart Whales
84
of 341 traders
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
12 MARKETS · $428.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting
43¢−17¢$32.0K13/37No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting−17¢43¢
$32.0K13/37
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
10¢+29¢$100.5K30/47No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting+29¢10¢
$100.5K30/47
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+36¢$7.2K10/18by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+36¢0¢
$7.2K10/18
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+27¢$12.3K10/27by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+27¢0¢
$12.3K10/27
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting←
95¢−55¢$64.0K34/50No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting←−55¢95¢
$64.0K34/50
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
4¢+35¢$62.2K32/51by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+35¢4¢
$62.2K32/51
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
1¢+5¢$51.5K3/51by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+5¢1¢
$51.5K3/51
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
75¢−41¢$32.3K13/25No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting−41¢75¢
$32.3K13/25
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting
78¢−42¢$47.6K21/37No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting−42¢78¢
$47.6K21/37
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting
33¢−20¢$11.5K3/20No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting−20¢33¢
$11.5K3/20
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
34 YESvs50 NO
41%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 22 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 95%
+1 new YES$5+1 new NO$0
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $10.4K is directional: YES $10.1K·NO $296YES Team
Total Invested
$11.8K
Avg Win Rate
64.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.2K(+35.5%)
Whales
34
F
firegold🥇
Entry 81¢·7,703.5 shares
Invested
$6.3K
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$1047
+$1047INV $6.3K · WR 59.7%
N
nicholasflamel🥈
Entry 78¢·1,425.6 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$265
+$265INV $1.1K · WR 61.2%
V
vino1234🥉hedged
Entry 63¢·1,503 shares·also $934 on NO
Invested
$950
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$479
+$479INV $950 · WR 61.7%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven
Entry 51¢·1,118.6 shares
Invested
$569
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$494
+$494INV $569 · WR 63.4%
S
st.eliot
Entry 84¢·627.7 shares
Invested
$524
Win Rate
89.9%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $524 · WR 89.9%
C
Constancefung
Entry 84¢·350.9 shares
Invested
$296
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $296 · WR 83.9%
O
OneMore1
Entry 59¢·448.1 shares
Invested
$263
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
+$169
+$169INV $263 · WR 92.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 20¢·1,073 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$804
+$804INV $215 · WR 87.7%
P
Pepe1234567
Entry 89¢·224.7 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $201 · WR 64.4%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 94¢·155.6 shares
Invested
$146
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $146 · WR 57.7%
Showing top 10 of 34
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.3K
Avg Win Rate
76.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.8K(-51.5%)
Whales
50
K
korda77🥇
Entry 50¢·1,960.9 shares
Invested
$971
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-874
$-874INV $971 · WR 85.2%
V
vino1234🥈hedged
Entry 73¢·1,288 shares·also $950 on YES
Invested
$934
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-871
$-871INV $934 · WR 61.7%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 50¢·1,432.6 shares
Invested
$717
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-646
$-646INV $717 · WR 85.8%
M
merod
Entry 46¢·1,361 shares
Invested
$632
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-565
$-565INV $632 · WR 84.1%
P
podairpodhedged
Entry 76¢·717 shares·also $117 on YES
Invested
$547
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-512
$-512INV $547 · WR 60.0%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 49¢·931 shares
Invested
$452
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-406
$-406INV $452 · WR 85.7%
E
exothetajunkie
Entry 30¢·906.9 shares
Invested
$276
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-245
$-245INV $276 · WR 59.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 45¢·493.9 shares
Invested
$220
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-196
$-196INV $220 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 18¢·1,035.3 shares
Invested
$184
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-133
$-133INV $184 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 31¢·461.3 shares
Invested
$144
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-121
$-121INV $144 · WR 72.2%
Showing top 10 of 50
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