Elastic-Universe · Polymarket wallet 0x6302…7917

Wallet snapshot

Elastic-Universe has made 3,632 trades on Polymarket across 108 markets, $1.5M in volume. Most of it is in economics (50%) and geopolitics (21%). On 100 resolved markets the win rate is 70%, lifetime P&L +$34K. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $141K · 60¢ → 87¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes · $67 · 3¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes · +$1,720 · Sep 18, 2026
• No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Yes · +$8 · Sep 17, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · +$6,575 · Sep 17, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes · +$15K · Jul 30, 2026
• Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Yes · -$90 · Jun 1, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes · -$3,101 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes · +$5 · May 14, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETNo · +$100 · May 3, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No · +$264 · May 1, 2026
• Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes · -$42 · Apr 30, 2026

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