Politics758 days left
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$31.43M
81,593 trades
Smart Whales
339
of 18,521 traders · 3 on both sides
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
46 MARKETS · $682.83M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
139 YESvs203 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 39% YES by dollars · 36 YES vs 31 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$0+2 new NO$14
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$203 of $6.2K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.3K·NO $3.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$23.7K
Avg Win Rate
66.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-6.2%)
Whales
139
B
Brokie🥇
Entry 0¢·304,000 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-741
$-741INV $1.2K · WR 59.4%
R
risk-manager🥈
Entry 0¢·430,660.7 shares
Invested
$861
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-215
$-215INV $861 · WR 73.6%
T
Threadbare-Signal🥉
Entry 1¢·12,201.1 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $108 · WR 60.2%
B
basedciganyhedged
Entry 1¢·11,976 shares·also $12.5K on NO
Invested
$108
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $108 · WR 62.8%
W
WellsWrighthedged
Entry 1¢·10,697.3 shares·also $10.6K on NO
Invested
$86
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $86 · WR 56.8%
D
Donkov
Entry 1¢·9,097.2 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $67 · WR 69.4%
B
bbkboth sides
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $55 on NO
Invested
$55
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $55 · WR 91.1%
D
0xd32c8236...both sides
Entry 50¢·93.2 shares·also $47 on NO
Invested
$47
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $47 · WR 86.8%
C
canai9595
Entry 1¢·3,375.9 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
91.9%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $44 · WR 91.9%
C
cd11133aa55788b5
Entry 1¢·1,538 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $20 · WR 61.7%
Showing top 10 of 139
NO Team
Total Invested
$76.5K
Avg Win Rate
66.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.02M(+1334.8%)
Whales
203
B
basedcigany🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·12,590.6 shares·also $108 on YES
Invested
$12.5K
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $12.5K · WR 62.8%
W
WellsWright🥈hedged
Entry 99¢·10,697.3 shares·also $86 on YES
Invested
$10.6K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $10.6K · WR 56.8%
1
11122🥉
Entry 99¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$4.9K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $4.9K · WR 60.6%
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
Entry 1¢·556,095.2 shares
Invested
$4.7K
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$550579
+$550579INV $4.7K · WR 88.7%
R
rdba
Entry 99¢·3,372.4 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $3.3K · WR 75.2%
J
J-E-R
Entry 1¢·121,094.9 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$119471
+$119471INV $1.4K · WR 58.8%
P
petanimal
Entry 1¢·126,033.3 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$124642
+$124642INV $1.2K · WR 80.8%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven
Entry 1¢·50,000 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$49425
+$49425INV $500 · WR 63.4%
7
7G-MAN
Entry 2¢·22,582 shares
Invested
$363
Win Rate
92.5%
Position P&L
+$22185
+$22185INV $363 · WR 92.5%
D
dba6
Entry 1¢·22,831.7 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$22638
+$22638INV $160 · WR 86.0%
Showing top 10 of 203
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