Sparse-Effectiveness · Polymarket wallet 0x17ed…c087

Wallet snapshot

Sparse-Effectiveness has made 12,626 trades on Polymarket across 778 markets, $2.5M in volume. Most of it is in politics (28%) and sports (24%). On 762 resolved markets the win rate is 62.9%, lifetime P&L +$135K. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Oct 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $10K · 50¢ → 79¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No · $8,459 · 85¢ → 97¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $2,737 · 50¢ → 21¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $1,425 · 12¢ → 10¢
• Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes · $237 · 36¢ → 25¢
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes · $47 · 6¢ → 1¢
• Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?No · $29 · 80¢ → 95¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes · $11 · 23¢ → 8¢
• Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes · $0 · 10¢ → 5¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Yes · -$2 · Oct 3, 2026
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes · -$96 · Oct 3, 2026
• Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes · -$98 · Oct 3, 2026
• Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?No · -$178 · Oct 3, 2026
• Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes · -$2 · Oct 3, 2026
• Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes · -$98 · Oct 3, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.