GeopoliticsResolved80 days left

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$1.72M
12,215 trades
Smart Whales
244
of 1,977 traders · 2 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

146 YESvs100 NO
59%41%
59% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 85% YES by dollars · 74 YES vs 39 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$9 of $42.0K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $35.5K·NO $6.5K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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