John-Silver · Polymarket wallet 0xe8c5…7a13

Wallet snapshot

John-Silver has made 2,235 trades on Polymarket across 93 markets, $600K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (60%) and sports (20%). On 91 resolved markets the win rate is 67%, lifetime P&L +$6,526. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?". Last trade: Aug 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes · $1,415 · 86¢ → 12¢

Latest closed positions

• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No · +$60 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$711 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes · +$308 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes · +$389 · Aug 19, 2026
• Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?Yes · +$5 · Aug 17, 2026
• Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?Yes · +$54 · Aug 15, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes · -$1,990 · Aug 4, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No · +$683 · Aug 4, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No · +$118 · Aug 1, 2026
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No · $0 · Jul 30, 2026

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