december · Polymarket wallet 0xf910…7467

+$43,438 lifetime P&L · 85.9% win rate · 177 resolved markets · 0xf910cc50ec0ceecb18a24dee5b9606b5ffa87467

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Wallet snapshot

december has made 3,728 trades on Polymarket across 188 markets, $3.8M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (27%) and politics (17%). On 177 resolved markets the win rate is 85.9%, lifetime P&L +$43K. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $36K · 50¢ → 79¢
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes · $11K · 81¢ → 62¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $9,473 · 50¢ → 21¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $2,715 · 91¢ → 91¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $1,810 · 92¢ → 91¢
Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Yes · $920 · 85¢ → 89¢
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes · $880 · 77¢ → 44¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes · $357 · 91¢ → 12¢
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes · $147 · 22¢ → 25¢

Latest closed positions

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$1,680 · Oct 6, 2026
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$480 · Sep 24, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No · +$745 · Sep 9, 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No · +$75 · Sep 1, 2026
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No · +$264 · Sep 1, 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No · +$54 · Aug 19, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.