Politics13 days left
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$39.6K
654 trades
Smart Whales
42
of 101 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $620.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs28 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+12 new YES$86+12 new NO$7.3K
2 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.4K is directional: YES $2.4K·NO $24YES Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
72.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.3K(-95.5%)
Whales
14
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 9¢·22,367.3 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-1982
$-1982INV $2.1K · WR 72.2%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 11¢·702.3 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $78 · WR 87.7%
N
neverhackme🥉
Entry 11¢·600 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $67 · WR 75.8%
Q
QMG-CORE
Entry 11¢·500 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $56 · WR 81.2%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 11¢·442.9 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $49 · WR 56.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 11¢·400.1 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $44 · WR 79.6%
M
melchior1248
Entry 1¢·5,383.3 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $29 · WR 69.2%
Y
YouSayUpISayDown
Entry 11¢·209 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $23 · WR 59.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 11¢·60 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 79.6%
A
Affectionate-Monger
Entry 10¢·66 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 79.1%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.5K
Avg Win Rate
85.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$10.4K(+186.8%)
Whales
28
B
Bigggggggg🥇
Entry 32¢·11,161.8 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$7537
+$7537INV $3.6K · WR 85.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 41¢·1,261.4 shares
Invested
$517
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$740
+$740INV $517 · WR 85.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥉
Entry 50¢·636 shares
Invested
$318
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$316
+$316INV $318 · WR 79.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 49¢·486.6 shares
Invested
$240
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$245
+$245INV $240 · WR 87.7%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 36¢·421.5 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$267
+$267INV $153 · WR 88.2%
V
vamosgaming
Entry 50¢·300 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$149
+$149INV $150 · WR 83.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·170 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $85 · WR 85.7%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 50¢·149.2 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $75 · WR 59.6%
M
Mijdel
Entry 98¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 83.2%
S
Sarcastic-Oak
Entry 100¢·7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 91.2%
Showing top 10 of 28
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