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Economics57 days left

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$260.7K
2,473 trades
Smart Whales
52
of 441 traders

How high will inflation get in 2026?

5 MARKETS · $782.5K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

25 YESvs27 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 17 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$464+9 new NO$2.4K
$132 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $68.1K is directional: YES $15.1K·NO $53.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$17.0K
Avg Win Rate
61.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.5K(-44.5%)
Whales
25
C
cookedquail🥇
Entry 21¢·30,349.7 shares
$-1713INV $6.3K · WR 56.1%
G
GypSea1🥈
Entry 64¢·7,480.3 shares
$-3674INV $4.8K · WR 66.7%
C
Capital-Endoderm🥉
Entry 20¢·16,000.1 shares
$-801INV $3.2K · WR 60.7%
C
CompulsiveGambler
Entry 86¢·855.2 shares
$-596INV $732 · WR 68.5%
O
Oskoreiter
Entry 141¢·291.6 shares
$-365INV $412 · WR 56.4%
R
RajahSingh
Entry 27¢·1,057.8 shares
$-128INV $287 · WR 57.0%
A
AlexiosV
Entry 15¢·1,918.4 shares
+$2INV $286 · WR 81.9%
T
TheKinginYellow
Entry 88¢·217 shares
$-157INV $192 · WR 68.7%
J
Jep-G
Entry 21¢·400 shares
$-23INV $83 · WR 57.5%
B
Bravo414
Entry 26¢·282.3 shares
$-30INV $72 · WR 66.0%
Showing top 10 of 25

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 47% YES: inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026