vivi-2026 · Polymarket wallet 0x0ac4…d344

Wallet snapshot

vivi-2026 has made 966 trades on Polymarket across 166 markets, $369K in volume. Most of it is in economics (40%) and geopolitics (36%). On 155 resolved markets the win rate is 83.9%, lifetime P&L +$6,808. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $354 · 79¢ → 89¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No · $352 · 88¢ → 88¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · $299 · 96¢ → 100¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · $187 · 84¢ → 94¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No · $184 · 83¢ → 96¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $171 · 81¢ → 87¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No · $99 · 83¢ → 99¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No · $91 · 87¢ → 91¢
• Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No · $85 · 89¢ → 85¢
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes · $12 · 7¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No · -$2 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$7 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$3 · Sep 16, 2026
• Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes · +$34 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$35 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$6 · Sep 11, 2026

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