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Market	Smart Money	Price	Volume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? ECONOMICS146d left	45% 353yes431no	88¢ 146d left	$7.0M
Fed rate hike in 2026? ECONOMICS124d left	44% 190yes237no	63¢ 124d left	$6.3M
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? ECONOMICS40d left	72% 346yes137no	51¢ 40d left	$4.4M
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? ECONOMICS40d left	51% 206yes200no	48¢ 40d left	$3.6M
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? ECONOMICS124d left	40% 47yes71no	46¢ 124d left	$693K
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? ECONOMICS146d left	26% 39yes113no	12¢ 146d left	$675K
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? ECONOMICS124d left	58% 45yes32no	56¢ 124d left	$385K
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? ECONOMICS146d left	39% 26yes41no	13¢ 146d left	$299K
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? ECONOMICS40d left	40% 27yes40no	46¢ 40d left	$292K
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? ECONOMICS83d left	32% 18yes39no	57¢ 83d left	$290K
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? ECONOMICS40d left	35% 24yes44no	53¢ 40d left	$270K
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? ECONOMICS83d left	33% 16yes33no	34¢ 83d left	$224K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? ECONOMICS25d left	61% 54yes35no	20¢ 25d left	$192K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? ECONOMICS25d left	47% 26yes29no	13¢ 25d left	$170K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? ECONOMICS25d left	31% 20yes45no	26¢ 25d left	$169K
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? ECONOMICS146d left	43% 41yes55no	27¢ 146d left	$147K
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? ECONOMICS146d left	54% 25yes21no	21¢ 146d left	$141K
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? ECONOMICS147d left	55% 45yes37no	21¢ 147d left	$135K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? ECONOMICS25d left	44% 32yes40no	66¢ 25d left	$125K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? ECONOMICS83d left	40% 23yes35no	23¢ 83d left	$108K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ECONOMICS83d left	53% 31yes28no	69¢ 83d left	$103K
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? ECONOMICS43d left	38% 20yes32no	60¢ 43d left	$86K
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? ECONOMICS146d left	23% 9yes31no	22¢ 146d left	$79K
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? ECONOMICS5d left	55% 51yes42no	67¢ 5d left	$66K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? ECONOMICS25d left	63% 25yes15no	34¢ 25d left	$64K
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? ECONOMICS43d left	37% 20yes34no	41¢ 43d left	$63K
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? ECONOMICS34d left	42% 24yes33no	86¢ 34d left	$62K
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? ECONOMICS5d left	48% 77yes85no	31¢ 5d left	$61K
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? ECONOMICS5d left	46% 61yes71no	45¢ 5d left	$61K
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? ECONOMICS146d left	44% 16yes20no	53¢ 146d left	$58K
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? ECONOMICS147d left	38% 17yes28no	39¢ 147d left	$55K
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? ECONOMICS34d left	43% 25yes33no	13¢ 34d left	$53K
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? ECONOMICS42d left	38% 22yes36no	89¢ 42d left	$52K
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? ECONOMICS42d left	25% 11yes33no	11¢ 42d left	$47K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? ECONOMICS25d left	59% 19yes13no	63¢ 25d left	$46K
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? ECONOMICS5d left	35% 20yes37no	17¢ 5d left	$38K
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? ECONOMICS147d left	30% 10yes23no	14¢ 147d left	$35K
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? ECONOMICS5d left	48% 82yes90no	55¢ 5d left	$34K
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%? ECONOMICS158d left	26% 9yes25no	14¢ 158d left	$29K
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? ECONOMICS5d left	26% 11yes31no	28¢ 5d left	$29K
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? ECONOMICS147d left	26% 8yes23no	16¢ 147d left	$27K
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? ECONOMICS5d left	35% 40yes75no	28¢ 5d left	$27K
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? ECONOMICS5d left	40% 32yes49no	16¢ 5d left	$22K
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? ECONOMICS5d left	24% 8yes26no	27¢ 5d left	$22K
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? ECONOMICS189d left	18% 5yes23no	70¢ 189d left	$22K
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? ECONOMICS33d left	59% 10yes7no	14¢ 33d left	$21K
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? ECONOMICS147d left	36% 8yes14no	26¢ 147d left	$19K
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? ECONOMICS147d left	25% 8yes24no	37¢ 147d left	$18K
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? ECONOMICS0d left	51% 93yes88no	34¢ 0d left	$18K
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%? ECONOMICS189d left	28% 9yes23no	18¢ 189d left	$17K
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? ECONOMICS169d left	30% 6yes14no	50¢ 169d left	$17K
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? ECONOMICS158d left	20% 6yes24no	67¢ 158d left	$16K
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%? ECONOMICS165d left	39% 12yes19no	16¢ 165d left	$15K
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? ECONOMICS166d left	27% 8yes22no	22¢ 166d left	$15K
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? ECONOMICS190d left	13% 2yes13no	54¢ 190d left	$15K
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? ECONOMICS166d left	28% 5yes13no	20¢ 166d left	$14K
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? ECONOMICS5d left	60% 135yes91no	49¢ 5d left	$14K
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? ECONOMICS82d left	20% 6yes24no	84¢ 82d left	$14K
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026? ECONOMICS147d left	54% 7yes6no	16¢ 147d left	$14K
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? ECONOMICS10d left	27% 8yes22no	34¢ 10d left	$13K
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? ECONOMICS0d left	46% 32yes38no	32¢ 0d left	$12K
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July? ECONOMICS6d left	51% 48yes47no	61¢ 6d left	$12K
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? ECONOMICS166d left	25% 4yes12no	22¢ 166d left	$12K
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? ECONOMICS156d left	19% 7yes30no	47¢ 156d left	$12K
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%? ECONOMICS84d left	20% 2yes8no	53¢ 84d left	$11K
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? ECONOMICS190d left	21% 4yes15no	47¢ 190d left	$11K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? ECONOMICS125d left	26% 7yes20no	59¢ 125d left	$11K
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? ECONOMICS169d left	27% 6yes16no	44¢ 169d left	$11K
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? ECONOMICS10d left	34% 17yes33no	28¢ 10d left	$11K
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? ECONOMICS156d left	19% 7yes30no	48¢ 156d left	$10K
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 6? ECONOMICS0d left	60% 3yes2no	78¢ 0d left	$10K
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? ECONOMICS164d left	20% 3yes12no	35¢ 164d left	$9K
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? ECONOMICS165d left	28% 9yes23no	63¢ 165d left	$9K
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July? ECONOMICS5d left	29% 5yes12no	38¢ 5d left	$9K
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? ECONOMICS154d left	10% 2yes19no	27¢ 154d left	$9K
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? ECONOMICS54d left	33% 5yes10no	84¢ 54d left	$8K
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? ECONOMICS84d left	29% 2yes5no	32¢ 84d left	$7K
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? ECONOMICS177d left	27% 7yes19no	25¢ 177d left	$7K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? ECONOMICS125d left	14% 3yes19no	33¢ 125d left	$7K
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? ECONOMICS82d left	26% 7yes20no	15¢ 82d left	$6K
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? ECONOMICS84d left	50% 2yes2no	25¢ 84d left	$6K
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? ECONOMICS84d left	7% 1yes14no	67¢ 84d left	$6K
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? ECONOMICS84d left	24% 5yes16no	82¢ 84d left	$6K
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? ECONOMICS125d left	20% 2yes8no	17¢ 125d left	$5K
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ECONOMICS84d left	7% 1yes14no	35¢ 84d left	$5K
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%? ECONOMICS5d left	32% 6yes13no	47¢ 5d left	$5K
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of August 3 2026? ECONOMICS1d left	45% 5yes6no	55¢ 1d left	$5K
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in August? ECONOMICS25d left	38% 3yes5no	30¢ 25d left	$5K
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%? ECONOMICS0d left	29% 6yes15no	27¢ 0d left	$5K
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? ECONOMICS146d left	0% 0yes9no	10¢ 146d left	$5K
Will three people dissent the January Fed decision? ECONOMICS174d left	0% 0yes3no	24¢ 174d left	$4K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? ECONOMICS174d left	42% 5yes7no	62¢ 174d left	$4K
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? ECONOMICS84d left	6% 1yes16no	15¢ 84d left	$3K
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? ECONOMICS164d left	29% 4yes10no	13¢ 164d left	$3K
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in August? ECONOMICS25d left	29% 2yes5no	78¢ 25d left	$3K
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%? ECONOMICS84d left	50% 4yes4no	34¢ 84d left	$3K
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? ECONOMICS84d left	50% 5yes5no	12¢ 84d left	$3K
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? ECONOMICS84d left	0% 0yes4no	34¢ 84d left	$2K
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? ECONOMICS84d left	20% 1yes4no	28¢ 84d left	$2K
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? ECONOMICS84d left	14% 1yes6no	14¢ 84d left	$2K

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Explore Polymarket markets by category

Every active Polymarket market, indexed from the Polygon chain and grouped by category: politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics and tech. Each market shows live volume and prices, and links to the wallets trading it, so a market view is always one click from the farmer-filtered leaderboard of who is actually positioned in it.

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What Polymarket markets does OrcaLayer track?

All of them — every active market is indexed from the chain within seconds, grouped by category (politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics, tech) with live volume and prices per market.

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