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The Clean Data Layer

Weekly whale digest: top movers, smart-money flow, new whales.

OrcaLayer is a Business Intelligence tool that leverages public blockchain data to provide insights into prediction market traders' performance. The information provided is not, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice. We are not a bookmaker and do not accept bets.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All data is read from the public Polygon blockchain.

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MarketSmart MoneyPriceVolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
ECONOMICS16d left
71%
560yes226no
80¢
16d left
$8.7M
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
ECONOMICS16d left
54%
322yes278no
20¢
16d left
$7.5M
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
ECONOMICS80d left
29%
68yes168no
10¢
80d left
$1.8M
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
ECONOMICS58d left
40%
65yes99no
76¢
58d left
$776K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
ECONOMICS58d left
46%
70yes82no
23¢
58d left
$678K
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
ECONOMICS58d left
70%
113yes49no
78¢
58d left
$645K
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
ECONOMICS80d left
39%
53yes83no
21¢
80d left
$385K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? — Polymarket market icon
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?
ECONOMICS19d left
47%
32yes36no
45¢
19d left
$275K
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
ECONOMICS80d left
44%
29yes37no
13¢
80d left
$223K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? — Polymarket market icon
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?
ECONOMICS19d left
36%
15yes27no
14¢
19d left
$210K
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
ECONOMICS80d left
43%
66yes86no
67¢
80d left
$201K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? — Polymarket market icon
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?
ECONOMICS19d left
62%
37yes23no
82¢
19d left
$186K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? — Polymarket market icon
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?
ECONOMICS19d left
66%
31yes16no
37¢
19d left
$184K
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
ECONOMICS80d left
57%
42yes32no
40¢
80d left
$179K
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
ECONOMICS80d left
45%
49yes61no
14¢
80d left
$177K
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
ECONOMICS80d left
39%
48yes75no
70¢
80d left
$157K
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
ECONOMICS79d left
47%
26yes29no
78¢
79d left
$142K
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
ECONOMICS24d left
42%
36yes49no
89¢
24d left
$134K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? — Polymarket market icon
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?
ECONOMICS19d left
21%
15yes58no
22¢
19d left
$116K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
ECONOMICS107d left
24%
15yes47no
33¢
107d left
$114K
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? — Polymarket market icon
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
ECONOMICS24d left
39%
30yes47no
10¢
24d left
$101K
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
ECONOMICS80d left
40%
24yes36no
16¢
80d left
$95K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
ECONOMICS107d left
26%
14yes40no
63¢
107d left
$87K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? — Polymarket market icon
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?
ECONOMICS19d left
22%
13yes47no
11¢
19d left
$82K
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?
ECONOMICS80d left
74%
103yes36no
35¢
80d left
$81K
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
ECONOMICS58d left
29%
20yes50no
11¢
58d left
$80K
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
ECONOMICS58d left
30%
18yes42no
20¢
58d left
$63K
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
ECONOMICS15d left
37%
28yes47no
85¢
15d left
$62K
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? — Polymarket market icon
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
ECONOMICS100d left
25%
8yes24no
58¢
100d left
$58K
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
ECONOMICS58d left
35%
24yes44no
66¢
58d left
$54K
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
ECONOMICS15d left
42%
27yes37no
15¢
15d left
$49K
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?
ECONOMICS17d left
33%
12yes24no
57¢
17d left
$45K
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? — Polymarket market icon
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?
ECONOMICS17d left
37%
16yes27no
66¢
17d left
$40K
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? — Polymarket market icon
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?
ECONOMICS2d left
34%
28yes55no
41¢
2d left
$37K
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
ECONOMICS92d left
26%
15yes43no
34¢
92d left
$32K
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?
ECONOMICS90d left
27%
13yes36no
61¢
90d left
$31K
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
ECONOMICS102d left
33%
10yes20no
67¢
102d left
$30K
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? — Polymarket market icon
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?
ECONOMICS2d left
35%
40yes74no
42¢
2d left
$30K
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
ECONOMICS92d left
27%
15yes41no
46¢
92d left
$25K
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
ECONOMICS100d left
35%
14yes26no
77¢
100d left
$25K
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? — Polymarket market icon
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?
ECONOMICS2d left
43%
43yes57no
34¢
2d left
$24K
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?
ECONOMICS90d left
20%
8yes33no
33¢
90d left
$22K
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?
ECONOMICS94d left
38%
11yes18no
22¢
94d left
$21K
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?
ECONOMICS88d left
11%
2yes16no
25¢
88d left
$21K
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?
ECONOMICS92d left
12%
7yes50no
11¢
92d left
$21K
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?
ECONOMICS17d left
17%
4yes19no
67¢
17d left
$20K
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
ECONOMICS107d left
43%
10yes13no
56¢
107d left
$20K
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?
ECONOMICS0d left
32%
13yes28no
61¢
0d left
$18K
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? — Polymarket market icon
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?
ECONOMICS80d left
36%
4yes7no
13¢
80d left
$18K
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?
ECONOMICS94d left
20%
4yes16no
31¢
94d left
$18K
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft? — Polymarket market icon
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?
ECONOMICS185d left
35%
9yes17no
38¢
185d left
$18K
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?
ECONOMICS57d left
24%
8yes25no
48¢
57d left
$17K
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
ECONOMICS98d left
13%
3yes20no
18¢
98d left
$17K
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?
ECONOMICS97d left
33%
6yes12no
37¢
97d left
$17K
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? — Polymarket market icon
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?
ECONOMICS2d left
43%
75yes98no
49¢
2d left
$16K
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? — Polymarket market icon
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?
ECONOMICS2d left
44%
48yes61no
48¢
2d left
$16K
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?
ECONOMICS34d left
13%
2yes13no
25¢
34d left
$16K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?
ECONOMICS4d left
67%
4yes2no
10¢
4d left
$15K
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? — Polymarket market icon
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?
ECONOMICS2d left
37%
62yes106no
34¢
2d left
$15K
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?
ECONOMICS50d left
24%
4yes13no
16¢
50d left
$14K
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?
ECONOMICS30d left
64%
9yes5no
73¢
30d left
$14K
Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September? — Polymarket market icon
Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?
ECONOMICS3d left
47%
25yes28no
34¢
3d left
$13K
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? — Polymarket market icon
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?
ECONOMICS2d left
42%
46yes63no
41¢
2d left
$13K
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?
ECONOMICS100d left
26%
10yes28no
14¢
100d left
$12K
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft? — Polymarket market icon
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?
ECONOMICS185d left
38%
10yes16no
60¢
185d left
$12K
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?
ECONOMICS94d left
24%
7yes22no
29¢
94d left
$12K
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? — Polymarket market icon
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?
ECONOMICS58d left
39%
12yes19no
45¢
58d left
$11K
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?
ECONOMICS17d left
37%
7yes12no
26¢
17d left
$11K
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
ECONOMICS98d left
38%
8yes13no
35¢
98d left
$9K
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?
ECONOMICS88d left
19%
4yes17no
40¢
88d left
$9K
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September? — Polymarket market icon
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?
ECONOMICS8d left
27%
6yes16no
22¢
8d left
$8K
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September? — Polymarket market icon
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September?
ECONOMICS2d left
31%
16yes35no
36¢
2d left
$8K
Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026?
ECONOMICS80d left
33%
3yes6no
20¢
80d left
$7K
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in September? — Polymarket market icon
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in September?
ECONOMICS2d left
14%
4yes25no
14¢
2d left
$7K
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%? — Polymarket market icon
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?
ECONOMICS31d left
28%
5yes13no
45¢
31d left
$7K
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September? — Polymarket market icon
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September?
ECONOMICS2d left
12%
3yes23no
13¢
2d left
$7K
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026?
ECONOMICS80d left
46%
13yes15no
40¢
80d left
$7K
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?
ECONOMICS17d left
19%
4yes17no
18¢
17d left
$7K
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September? — Polymarket market icon
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?
ECONOMICS2d left
13%
4yes26no
12¢
2d left
$6K
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
ECONOMICS66d left
29%
6yes15no
66¢
66d left
$6K
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
ECONOMICS17d left
33%
6yes12no
48¢
17d left
$6K
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision? — Polymarket market icon
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?
ECONOMICS15d left
28%
5yes13no
31¢
15d left
$6K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 12 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 12 2026?
ECONOMICS4d left
50%
1yes1no
17¢
4d left
$6K
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September? — Polymarket market icon
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?
ECONOMICS8d left
35%
7yes13no
49¢
8d left
$6K
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?
ECONOMICS0d left
15%
4yes22no
29¢
0d left
$5K
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?
ECONOMICS170d left
13%
1yes7no
19¢
170d left
$5K
Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?
ECONOMICS80d left
17%
1yes5no
13¢
80d left
$5K
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision? — Polymarket market icon
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?
ECONOMICS57d left
19%
3yes13no
13¢
57d left
$5K
Will PPI YoY be 5.7% in September? — Polymarket market icon
Will PPI YoY be 5.7% in September?
ECONOMICS3d left
13%
1yes7no
19¢
3d left
$5K
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%? — Polymarket market icon
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?
ECONOMICS100d left
47%
8yes9no
21¢
100d left
$4K
Will three people dissent the October Fed decision? — Polymarket market icon
Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?
ECONOMICS15d left
9%
1yes10no
21¢
15d left
$4K
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision? — Polymarket market icon
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?
ECONOMICS15d left
31%
4yes9no
21¢
15d left
$4K
Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026?
ECONOMICS80d left
23%
5yes17no
52¢
80d left
$4K
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? — Polymarket market icon
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
ECONOMICS17d left
27%
3yes8no
20¢
17d left
$4K
Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?
ECONOMICS80d left
43%
3yes4no
14¢
80d left
$4K
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 12 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 12 2026?
ECONOMICS4d left
50%
0yes0no
75¢
4d left
$3K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of October 12 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of October 12 2026?
ECONOMICS4d left
50%
1yes1no
76¢
4d left
$2K
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 12 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 12 2026?
ECONOMICS4d left
25%
1yes3no
47¢
4d left
$2K
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%? — Polymarket market icon
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
ECONOMICS24d left
38%
3yes5no
33¢
24d left
$2K
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 12 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 12 2026?
ECONOMICS4d left
67%
2yes1no
26¢
4d left
$1K
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Explore Polymarket markets by category

Every active Polymarket market, indexed from the Polygon chain and grouped by category: politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics and tech. Each market shows live volume and prices, and links to the wallets trading it, so a market view is always one click from the farmer-filtered leaderboard of who is actually positioned in it.

Questions and answers

What Polymarket markets does OrcaLayer track?

All of them — every active market is indexed from the chain within seconds, grouped by category (politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics, tech) with live volume and prices per market.

How do I explore Polymarket markets by category?

Use the category tabs on the markets page: politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics and tech. Each category lists its active markets with volume and current prices, sortable and filterable.

How fresh is the data?

Trades stream from the Polygon chain with seconds of lag; prices refresh continuously. Nightly jobs rebuild the heavier aggregates.