Economics135 days left

Will the Bank of England increase the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

28¢

28% implied

NO Price

72¢

72% implied

Volume

$583

32 trades

Smart Whales

of 23 traders

Bank of England Decision in March?

7 MARKETS · $25.2K MATCHED

Smart Money

by 25 bps at the February meeting

56¢−27¢$6.6K2/5

by 25 bps at the February meeting−27¢56¢

$6.6K2/5

by 50+ bps at the February meeting

2¢−2¢$1540/4

by 50+ bps at the February meeting−2¢2¢

$1540/4

by 50+ bps at the March meeting

3¢−3¢$4970/5

by 50+ bps at the March meeting−3¢3¢

$4970/5

by 25 bps at the March meeting

3¢+11¢$11.2K1/6

by 25 bps at the March meeting+11¢3¢

$11.2K1/6

Will the Bank of England make no change to the Bank Rate at the March meeting

60¢−27¢$5.6K1/2

Will the Bank of England make no change to the Bank Rate at the March meeting−27¢60¢

$5.6K1/2

by 25 bps at the March meeting←

28¢+5¢$5831/2

by 25 bps at the March meeting←+5¢28¢

$5831/2

by 50+ bps at the March meeting

3¢−3¢$4900/3

by 50+ bps at the March meeting−3¢3¢

$4900/3

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs2 NO

33%67%

67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%· net of hedges

+2 new YES$28+1 new NO$38

$28 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $4 is directional: YES $4·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

79.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$3(+73.1%)

Whales

NO Team

Total Invested

$54

Avg Win Rate

86.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$4(-7.0%)

Whales

+$1INV $28 · WR 88.0%

$-5INV $26 · WR 85.8%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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