Economics129 days left

Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

39¢

39% implied

NO Price

61¢

61% implied

Volume

$3.5K

135 trades

Smart Whales

of 69 traders

Bank of Japan Decision in March?

7 MARKETS · $10.9K MATCHED

Smart Money

by 25 bps at the January meeting

27¢−27¢$3.2K0/7

by 25 bps at the January meeting−27¢27¢

$3.2K0/7

by 50+ bps at the January meeting

1¢−1¢$6120/9

by 50+ bps at the January meeting−1¢1¢

$6120/9

by 50+ bps at the March meeting

3¢−3¢$3770/5

by 50+ bps at the March meeting−3¢3¢

$3770/5

by 25 bps at the March meeting

3¢−3¢$3520/5

by 25 bps at the March meeting−3¢3¢

$3520/5

Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the March meeting

53¢−33¢$2.5K1/4

Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the March meeting−33¢53¢

$2.5K1/4

by 25 bps at the March meeting←

39¢−39¢$3.5K0/4

by 25 bps at the March meeting←−39¢39¢

$3.5K0/4

by 50+ bps at the March meeting

3¢−3¢$3520/4

by 50+ bps at the March meeting−3¢3¢

$3520/4

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Smart Money Consensus

0 YESvs4 NO

100%

100% of smart money holding this market is on NO

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

YES Team

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

unknown

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

No smart whales on YES

NO Team

Total Invested

$14

Avg Win Rate

82.8%

Aggregate P&L

+$1(+4.3%)

Whales

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