Economics129 days left

Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

3¢

3% implied

NO Price

97¢

97% implied

Volume

$352

7 trades

Smart Whales

of 10 traders

Bank of Japan Decision in March?

7 MARKETS · $10.9K MATCHED

Smart Money

by 25 bps at the January meeting

27¢−27¢$3.2K0/7

by 25 bps at the January meeting−27¢27¢

$3.2K0/7

by 50+ bps at the January meeting

1¢−1¢$6120/9

by 50+ bps at the January meeting−1¢1¢

$6120/9

by 50+ bps at the March meeting

3¢−3¢$3770/5

by 50+ bps at the March meeting−3¢3¢

$3770/5

by 25 bps at the March meeting

3¢−3¢$3520/5

by 25 bps at the March meeting−3¢3¢

$3520/5

Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the March meeting

53¢−33¢$2.5K1/4

Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the March meeting−33¢53¢

$2.5K1/4

by 25 bps at the March meeting

39¢−39¢$3.5K0/4

by 25 bps at the March meeting−39¢39¢

$3.5K0/4

by 50+ bps at the March meeting←

3¢−3¢$3520/4

by 50+ bps at the March meeting←−3¢3¢

$3520/4

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs4 NO

33%67%

67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $301 is directional: YES $2·NO $299

YES Team

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

75.0%

Aggregate P&L

-$1(-83.4%)

Whales

NO Team

Total Invested

$314

Avg Win Rate

60.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$23(+7.3%)

Whales

+$23INV $294 · WR 59.2%

$-0INV $10 · WR 86.1%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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