Economics91 days left
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
63¢
63% implied
NO Price
37¢
37% implied
Volume
$6.6K
211 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 82 traders
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
5 MARKETS · $12.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting
8¢+12¢$1.2K2/8Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting+12¢8¢
$1.2K2/8
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting←
63¢−21¢$6.6K8/11Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting←−21¢63¢
$6.6K8/11
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting
3¢+15¢$1.4K2/9Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting+15¢3¢
$1.4K2/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs11 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 64%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$364+11 new NO$236
$138 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.1K is directional: YES $1.9K·NO $141YES Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
61.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$219(+11.3%)
Whales
10
F
firegold🥇
Entry 60¢·2,106.8 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $1.3K · WR 60.8%
6
6idontknow123451334🥈
Entry 51¢·1,113 shares
Invested
$565
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$136
+$136INV $565 · WR 62.2%
P
podairpod🥉
Entry 60¢·100 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $60 · WR 60.4%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 64¢·42.4 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $27 · WR 69.0%
G
GrandeFromage
Entry 52¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 64.7%
R
RedFoxxie
Entry 47¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $9 · WR 57.4%
S
SpringlyFawl
Entry 47¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $9 · WR 77.6%
B
big-bird1
Entry 66¢·1.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.0%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 15¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 89.3%
L
Lucerys
Entry 18¢·0.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 85.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$535
Avg Win Rate
78.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$53(-9.9%)
Whales
11
G
god83743894🥇
Entry 38¢·635 shares
Invested
$239
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $239 · WR 85.2%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 44¢·222.7 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $98 · WR 87.7%
H
hitunfar🥉
Entry 65¢·89.5 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $58 · WR 59.9%
C
Careful-Bunch
Entry 44¢·98.4 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $44 · WR 55.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 35¢·100 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $35 · WR 71.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 40¢·54.6 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $22 · WR 79.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 46¢·40 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $18 · WR 79.4%
M
midturn.rekt
Entry 52¢·30 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $16 · WR 85.9%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 43¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 58.3%
B
Brave-Timbale-Witch
Entry 32¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 66.7%
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