Economics46 days left
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$3.2K
182 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 58 traders
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
5 MARKETS · $51.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting
1¢+27¢$3.4K5/13Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting+27¢1¢
$3.4K5/13
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting
86¢−37¢$25.6K20/21Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting−37¢86¢
$25.6K20/21
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting←
1¢+22¢$3.2K5/17Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting←+22¢1¢
$3.2K5/17
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs20 NO
9%91%
91% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+2 new YES$0+0 new NO$0
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $155 is directional: YES $9·NO $146YES Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
85.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-93.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
82.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+70.4%)
Whales
20
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 50¢·1,324.7 shares
Invested
$662
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$655
+$655INV $662 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 64¢·472.9 shares
Invested
$302
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$168
+$168INV $302 · WR 79.3%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 54¢·451 shares
Invested
$243
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$205
+$205INV $243 · WR 88.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·301.6 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$149
+$149INV $151 · WR 72.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 57¢·260.8 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$111
+$111INV $148 · WR 87.6%
S
Started-with-20-USD◆Proven
Entry 90¢·160.4 shares
Invested
$144
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $144 · WR 58.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 64¢·170 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $110 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 99¢·70 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $69 · WR 89.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 100¢·60 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $60 · WR 88.8%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 99¢·43 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $43 · WR 86.6%
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