Economics91 days left
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$1.4K
51 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 29 traders
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
5 MARKETS · $12.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting
8¢+12¢$1.2K2/8Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting+12¢8¢
$1.2K2/8
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting
63¢−21¢$6.6K8/11Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting−21¢63¢
$6.6K8/11
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting←
3¢+15¢$1.4K2/9Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting←+15¢3¢
$1.4K2/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$14
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $153 is directional: YES $8·NO $145YES Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
89.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-80.9%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
81.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$883(+83.3%)
Whales
10
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 50¢·1,270 shares
Invested
$635
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$598
+$598INV $635 · WR 87.5%
S
Started-with-20-USD🥈
Entry 90¢·160.4 shares
Invested
$145
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $145 · WR 58.9%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 50¢·200 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$94
+$94INV $100 · WR 71.8%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·174.4 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$82
+$82INV $87 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·69.2 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $35 · WR 79.2%
M
midturn.rekt
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $30 · WR 85.9%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 50¢·29.8 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $15 · WR 58.4%
L
luciebot
Entry 93¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 83.2%
B
Brave-Timbale-Witch
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 66.2%
M
maomao228
Entry 2¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $0 · WR 63.1%
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