Economics46 days left
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$3.8K
201 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 73 traders
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
5 MARKETS · $51.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting
1¢+27¢$3.4K5/13Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting+27¢1¢
$3.4K5/13
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting
86¢−37¢$25.5K20/21Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting−37¢86¢
$25.5K20/21
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting
1¢+22¢$3.2K5/17Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting+22¢1¢
$3.2K5/17
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs19 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 35% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%
+1 new YES$4+3 new NO$43
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $30 is directional: YES $10·NO $20YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
81.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+30.7%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
84.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+76.4%)
Whales
19
H
haveagoodday🥇
Entry 50¢·1,270 shares
Invested
$635
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$617
+$617INV $635 · WR 86.6%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 58¢·354.9 shares
Invested
$206
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$144
+$144INV $206 · WR 79.3%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 73¢·194 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $141 · WR 88.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 59¢·235.7 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$94
+$94INV $138 · WR 87.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·276 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$134
+$134INV $138 · WR 89.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·259.5 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$126
+$126INV $130 · WR 72.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 64¢·170 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $110 · WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 67¢·155 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $104 · WR 88.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 67¢·123 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $83 · WR 86.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 49¢·61 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $30 · WR 86.0%
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