Economics91 days left
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$1.3K
56 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 33 traders
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
5 MARKETS · $12.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting
8¢+12¢$1.2K2/8Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting+12¢8¢
$1.2K2/8
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting
63¢−21¢$6.6K8/11Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting−21¢63¢
$6.6K8/11
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting
3¢+15¢$1.4K2/9Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting+15¢3¢
$1.4K2/9
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Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs7 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$14
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8 is directional: YES $8·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-62.2%)
Whales
4
L
LesterDiamond🥇
Entry 15¢·51.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $8 · WR 89.3%
M
maomao228🥈hedged
Entry 11¢·15.4 shares·also $33 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 63.1%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 20¢·1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 71.8%
L
Lucerys
Entry 18¢·0.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 85.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$184
Avg Win Rate
80.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$127(+69.3%)
Whales
7
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 50¢·174.2 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $87 · WR 87.7%
M
maomao228🥈hedged
Entry 92¢·35.4 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$33
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $33 · WR 63.1%
M
midturn.rekt🥉
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $30 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·29.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $15 · WR 79.2%
L
luciebot
Entry 92¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 83.2%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 50¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 58.6%
B
Brave-Timbale-Witch
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 66.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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