Economics46 days left
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$3.4K
182 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 55 traders
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
5 MARKETS · $51.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting←
1¢+27¢$3.4K5/13Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting←+27¢1¢
$3.4K5/13
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting
86¢−37¢$25.5K20/21Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting−37¢86¢
$25.5K20/21
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting
1¢+22¢$3.2K5/17Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting+22¢1¢
$3.2K5/17
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs16 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+2 new YES$0+2 new NO$25
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9 is directional: YES $9·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
85.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-93.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
85.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+81.4%)
Whales
16
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 51¢·1,380 shares
Invested
$705
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$667
+$667INV $705 · WR 88.6%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 59¢·385.9 shares
Invested
$228
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$156
+$156INV $228 · WR 88.8%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 57¢·260.8 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$111
+$111INV $148 · WR 87.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·261.6 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$129
+$129INV $131 · WR 72.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 64¢·170 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $110 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 87¢·80 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $70 · WR 89.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·129.7 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $65 · WR 79.3%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·90.7 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $45 · WR 87.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 99¢·43 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $43 · WR 85.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 49¢·61 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $30 · WR 86.0%
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