Economics91 days left
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$1.2K
46 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 25 traders
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
5 MARKETS · $12.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting←
8¢+12¢$1.2K2/8Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting←+12¢8¢
$1.2K2/8
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting
63¢−21¢$6.6K8/11Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting−21¢63¢
$6.6K8/11
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting
3¢+15¢$1.4K2/9Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting+15¢3¢
$1.4K2/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$14
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8 is directional: YES $8·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
89.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-55.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$908
Avg Win Rate
86.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$761(+83.8%)
Whales
9
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 50¢·1,270 shares
Invested
$635
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$532
+$532INV $635 · WR 88.8%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 50¢·200 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $100 · WR 71.8%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 50¢·174.4 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $87 · WR 87.7%
M
midturn.rekt
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $30 · WR 85.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·41 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $21 · WR 85.4%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $20 · WR 78.8%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 50¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 58.4%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 83.2%
B
Brave-Timbale-Witch
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 66.2%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 650ms