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Economics46 days left

Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$15.2K
622 trades
Smart Whales
27
of 153 traders

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

5 MARKETS · $51.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs22 NO
19%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 56% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$22+4 new NO$94
$5 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $709 is directional: YES $398·NO $311
YES Team
Total Invested
$398
Avg Win Rate
58.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$183(-45.9%)
Whales
5
S
Skaliz🥇
Entry 24¢·1,172.5 shares
$-137INV $284 · WR 58.2%
F
firegold🥈
Entry 19¢·300 shares
$-17INV $56 · WR 59.5%
P
podairpod🥉
Entry 23¢·175.5 shares
$-18INV $40 · WR 59.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 28¢·40 shares
$-6INV $11 · WR 66.5%
P
puravida
Entry 32¢·20.7 shares
$-4INV $7 · WR 59.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 19% YES: the ECB announce no change…