Economics91 days left
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$2.0K
112 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 53 traders
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
5 MARKETS · $12.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting
8¢+12¢$1.2K2/8Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting+12¢8¢
$1.2K2/8
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting
63¢−21¢$6.6K8/11Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting−21¢63¢
$6.6K8/11
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting
3¢+15¢$1.4K2/9Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting+15¢3¢
$1.4K2/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs9 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 63%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$325+8 new NO$204
$80 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $119 is directional: YES $119·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$119
Avg Win Rate
62.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-5.2%)
Whales
5
P
puravida🥇
Entry 32¢·245.5 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $79 · WR 60.5%
P
podairpod🥈
Entry 22¢·100 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $22 · WR 60.4%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 20¢·47.3 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $9 · WR 87.7%
M
maomao228
Entry 41¢·20 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $8 · WR 63.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 20¢·1.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 71.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$775
Avg Win Rate
85.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$345(+44.5%)
Whales
9
P
plainfolder🥇
Entry 50¢·1,270 shares
Invested
$635
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$292
+$292INV $635 · WR 85.7%
L
LesterDiamond🥈
Entry 50¢·102.4 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $51 · WR 89.3%
M
midturn.rekt🥉
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $30 · WR 85.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 66¢·41.7 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $27 · WR 85.4%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·29.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $15 · WR 78.8%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 83.2%
B
Brave-Timbale-Witch
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 66.2%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 65¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 58.4%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 65¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 58.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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