Shameful-Refund · Polymarket wallet 0xc7be…ee1d

Wallet snapshot

Shameful-Refund has made 133 trades on Polymarket across 38 markets, $11K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (24%) and tech (21%). On 32 resolved markets the win rate is 71.9%, lifetime P&L +$799. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?". Last trade: Oct 26, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Yes · $113 · 76¢ → 66¢
• Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Yes · $93 · 74¢ → 69¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes · $59 · 79¢ → 93¢
• Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Yes · $45 · 25¢ → 28¢

Latest closed positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes · -$209 · Oct 26, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Yes · +$19 · Oct 11, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Yes · +$24 · Oct 6, 2026
• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes · -$124 · Oct 1, 2026
• Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes · +$136 · Sep 16, 2026
• Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026?No · +$102 · Sep 15, 2026
• Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?No · +$35 · Sep 13, 2026
• Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · +$47 · Sep 11, 2026
• Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$40 · Sep 4, 2026

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