YES Price
46ยข
46% implied
NO Price
54ยข
54% implied
Volume
$78.0K
1,552 trades
Smart Whales
137
of 505 traders
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
9 MARKETS ยท $333.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
103 YESvs34 NO
75%25%
75% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 66% YES by dollars ยท 83 YES vs 18 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%ยท net of hedges
+4 new YES$48+12 new NO$1.1K
$72 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers โ left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $11.8K is directional: YES $7.8KยทNO $4.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$10.2K
Avg Win Rate
78.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.5K(-24.3%)
Whales
103
C
CauchyBraids๐ฅ
Entry 76ยขยท8,192.9 shares
Invested
$6.2K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-2471
$-2471INV $6.2K ยท WR 82.7%
K
keysersoze22๐ฅ
Entry 43ยขยท1,963.5 shares
Invested
$842
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $842 ยท WR 78.6%
F
flipperino๐ฅhedged
Entry 73ยขยท813.8 sharesยทalso $53 on NO
Invested
$593
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-218
$-218INV $593 ยท WR 63.8%
X
xiao1hedged
Entry 64ยขยท749.5 sharesยทalso $62 on NO
Invested
$480
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-135
$-135INV $480 ยท WR 61.1%
C
ChasingPaper
Entry 60ยขยท611.7 shares
Invested
$366
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $366 ยท WR 65.5%
E
Eugene22
Entry 20ยขยท1,279.9 shares
Invested
$256
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
+$327
+$327INV $256 ยท WR 78.3%
T
Tukuhedged
Entry 114ยขยท120 sharesยทalso $36 on NO
Invested
$137
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $137 ยท WR 77.4%
K
kuash
Entry 64ยขยท192.3 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $123 ยท WR 63.4%
F
flaneur22
Entry 33ยขยท275.6 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $92 ยท WR 84.1%
F
foxi00
Entry 17ยขยท455.1 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$129
+$129INV $78 ยท WR 61.1%
Showing top 10 of 103
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.0K
Avg Win Rate
66.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.4K(+46.8%)
Whales
34
M
mommydualipa๐ฅ
Entry 25ยขยท4,000 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$1180
+$1180INV $1.0K ยท WR 56.2%
G
gothmommy69๐ฅ
Entry 25ยขยท4,000 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$1180
+$1180INV $1.0K ยท WR 61.8%
J
Jaygo๐ฅ
Entry 88ยขยท966.5 shares
Invested
$851
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
$-324
$-324INV $851 ยท WR 76.2%
A
alanhutton
Entry 74ยขยท540.6 shares
Invested
$400
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-108
$-108INV $400 ยท WR 72.0%
G
gydmasg
Entry 60ยขยท629.2 shares
Invested
$375
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $375 ยท WR 68.0%
B
BuyerOfNo
Entry 36ยขยท528.4 shares
Invested
$188
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $188 ยท WR 64.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 89ยขยท121.2 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $108 ยท WR 68.6%
T
Tenebrus7โProven
Entry 67ยขยท141.7 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $95 ยท WR 74.2%
B
Bare-Streetcar-Strength
Entry 76ยขยท123.4 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $94 ยท WR 75.6%
H
horatio
Entry 90ยขยท100 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $90 ยท WR 57.7%
Showing top 10 of 34
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