YES Price
10ยข
10% implied
NO Price
90ยข
90% implied
Volume
$143.9K
2,288 trades
Smart Whales
194
of 973 traders
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
9 MARKETS ยท $334.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
132 YESvs62 NO
68%32%
68% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars ยท 106 YES vs 37 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%
+1 new YES$34+1 new NO$416
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $10.9K is directional: YES $1.7KยทNO $9.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$8.7K
Avg Win Rate
67.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.9K(-67.9%)
Whales
132
S
sunburntcat๐ฅhedged
Entry 83ยขยท4,271.8 sharesยทalso $549 on NO
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-3146
$-3146INV $3.6K ยท WR 56.0%
T
Tuku๐ฅ
Entry 91ยขยท2,000 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
$-1630
$-1630INV $1.8K ยท WR 77.4%
K
keysersoze22๐ฅ
Entry 13ยขยท9,831.5 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$70
+$70INV $1.2K ยท WR 78.6%
C
Cloudy-Battinghedged
Entry 89ยขยท332.7 sharesยทalso $51 on NO
Invested
$295
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-263
$-263INV $295 ยท WR 60.7%
X
XAE12Archangelhedged
Entry 105ยขยท270 sharesยทalso $44 on NO
Invested
$284
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-258
$-258INV $284 ยท WR 77.3%
F
flaneur22
Entry 24ยขยท950.3 shares
Invested
$230
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $230 ยท WR 84.1%
F
flipperinohedged
Entry 101ยขยท217.7 sharesยทalso $28 on NO
Invested
$219
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-198
$-198INV $219 ยท WR 63.8%
P
PM666
Entry 102ยขยท195.9 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-182
$-182INV $201 ยท WR 60.3%
C
CauchyBraidshedged
Entry 84ยขยท208.7 sharesยทalso $3 on NO
Invested
$175
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-154
$-154INV $175 ยท WR 82.7%
D
Dreamwalkerhedged
Entry 6ยขยท667.5 sharesยทalso $621 on NO
Invested
$37
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $37 ยท WR 72.7%
Showing top 10 of 132
NO Team
Total Invested
$11.2K
Avg Win Rate
74.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.3K(+38.7%)
Whales
62
M
Michel de Nostredame๐ฅ
Entry 88ยขยท3,500 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $3.1K ยท WR 72.7%
B
btcisking๐ฅ
Entry 90ยขยท2,857.9 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $2.6K ยท WR 86.4%
G
gydmasg๐ฅ
Entry 79ยขยท1,085.7 shares
Invested
$861
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
+$119
+$119INV $861 ยท WR 68.0%
D
Dreamwalkerhedged
Entry 93ยขยท667.5 sharesยทalso $37 on YES
Invested
$621
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $621 ยท WR 72.7%
S
sunburntcathedged
Entry 13ยขยท4,271.8 sharesยทalso $3.6K on YES
Invested
$549
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$3310
+$3310INV $549 ยท WR 56.0%
1
1231123123
Entry 80ยขยท628.6 shares
Invested
$505
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $505 ยท WR 84.8%
C
ChasingPaper
Entry 85ยขยท564.5 shares
Invested
$481
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $481 ยท WR 65.5%
B
BetterHold
Entry 77ยขยท536.7 shares
Invested
$411
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $411 ยท WR 68.9%
B
BuyerOfNo
Entry 76ยขยท305 shares
Invested
$232
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $232 ยท WR 64.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 79ยขยท262.8 shares
Invested
$206
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $206 ยท WR 57.8%
Showing top 10 of 62
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