YES Price
15ยข
15% implied
NO Price
85ยข
85% implied
Volume
$100.2K
1,240 trades
Smart Whales
115
of 496 traders
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
9 MARKETS ยท $332.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
82 YESvs33 NO
71%29%
71% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 31% YES by dollars ยท 70 YES vs 19 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%
+4 new YES$22+1 new NO$86
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $6.0K is directional: YES $1.8KยทNO $4.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.4K
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.9K(-56.8%)
Whales
82
S
sunburntcat๐ฅhedged
Entry 73ยขยท1,007.7 sharesยทalso $134 on NO
Invested
$733
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-583
$-583INV $733 ยท WR 56.0%
X
xiao1๐ฅhedged
Entry 78ยขยท854.6 sharesยทalso $108 on NO
Invested
$664
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-537
$-537INV $664 ยท WR 61.1%
C
CauchyBraids๐ฅ
Entry 37ยขยท1,559.1 shares
Invested
$582
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-322
$-322INV $582 ยท WR 82.7%
F
flaneur22
Entry 37ยขยท1,498.3 shares
Invested
$551
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-301
$-301INV $551 ยท WR 84.1%
K
keysersoze22
Entry 26ยขยท1,472.8 shares
Invested
$378
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-132
$-132INV $378 ยท WR 78.6%
O
OranG3cluB
Entry 13ยขยท1,000 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $130 ยท WR 64.5%
O
okakokakhedged
Entry 14ยขยท176.3 sharesยทalso $134 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $25 ยท WR 57.1%
A
apiwathedged
Entry 9ยขยท190 sharesยทalso $149 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
93.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $18 ยท WR 93.1%
N
nudye7
Entry 48ยขยท21.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $10 ยท WR 66.7%
X
xiaozhutou
Entry 26ยขยท30.4 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $8 ยท WR 70.0%
Showing top 10 of 82
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.6K
Avg Win Rate
69.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.4K(+42.2%)
Whales
33
G
gydmasg๐ฅ
Entry 81ยขยท2,221.8 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $1.8K ยท WR 68.0%
F
flipperino๐ฅ
Entry 76ยขยท897.8 shares
Invested
$686
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $686 ยท WR 63.8%
C
ChasingPaper๐ฅ
Entry 80ยขยท522.6 shares
Invested
$420
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $420 ยท WR 65.5%
A
amis
Entry 94ยขยท382.3 shares
Invested
$359
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $359 ยท WR 87.5%
V
vinii
Entry 68ยขยท519.1 shares
Invested
$352
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $352 ยท WR 65.7%
B
BetterHold
Entry 54ยขยท489.4 shares
Invested
$265
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$142
+$142INV $265 ยท WR 68.9%
A
alanhutton
Entry 61ยขยท372.5 shares
Invested
$227
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $227 ยท WR 72.0%
A
AstariaCapital
Entry 92ยขยท240 shares
Invested
$221
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $221 ยท WR 73.7%
A
apiwathedged
Entry 78ยขยท190 sharesยทalso $18 on YES
Invested
$149
Win Rate
93.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $149 ยท WR 93.1%
S
sunburntcathedged
Entry 9ยขยท1,428.6 sharesยทalso $733 on YES
Invested
$134
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$1081
+$1081INV $134 ยท WR 56.0%
Showing top 10 of 33
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