85 days left
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31?
YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$2.3K
187 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 70 traders
What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on December 31?
7 MARKETS · $15.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs8 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$17+6 new NO$55
$14 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $14 is directional: YES $14·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$26
Avg Win Rate
67.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-32.6%)
Whales
3
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥇
Entry 13¢·107.2 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $14 · WR 63.5%
8
0x841ae518...🥈hedged
Entry 58¢·13.7 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $8 · WR 77.3%
C
cloverpmq2🥉hedged
Entry 12¢·36.8 shares·also $27 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 61.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$92
Avg Win Rate
77.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$67(+73.2%)
Whales
8
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 61¢·48 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $30 · WR 87.7%
C
cloverpmq2🥈hedged
Entry 72¢·36.8 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$27
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $27 · WR 61.3%
G
Gorgeous-Shirtdress-Vibraphone🥉
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $18 · WR 76.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·13.3 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $7 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 52¢·10.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 89.0%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 86.2%
F
forgotmydinner
Entry 3¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $0 · WR 75.7%
8
0x841ae518...hedged
Entry 2¢·13.7 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$0
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $0 · WR 77.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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