85 days left
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$2.4K
216 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 64 traders
What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on December 31?
7 MARKETS · $15.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs9 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%
+2 new YES$8+1 new NO$33
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $74 is directional: YES $69·NO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$69
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$36(-52.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$118
Avg Win Rate
83.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$79(+67.4%)
Whales
9
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 54¢·95.4 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $51 · WR 79.6%
W
Which-Sty-Price🥈
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $18 · WR 89.5%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 50¢·34 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $17 · WR 89.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 84¢·13.3 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 85.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 59¢·14 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $8 · WR 85.8%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 86.2%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 76¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 68.9%
F
forgotmydinner
Entry 20¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $2 · WR 75.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 69¢·0.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 88.2%
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