85 days left
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,062,000 and $1,083,000 on December 31?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$1.9K
183 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 61 traders
What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on December 31?
7 MARKETS · $15.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs6 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$12+7 new NO$52
$20 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $50 is directional: YES $50·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$50
Avg Win Rate
63.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$7(+13.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$62
Avg Win Rate
84.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$30(+48.0%)
Whales
6
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 66¢·28.8 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $19 · WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 50¢·34.9 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $17 · WR 89.0%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 88.2%
M
mapleggg
Entry 82¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 86.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 86¢·6.7 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 85.9%
F
forgotmydinner
Entry 20¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $2 · WR 75.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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