85 days left
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,146,000 and $1,165,000 on December 31?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$1.4K
149 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 55 traders
What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on December 31?
7 MARKETS · $15.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs10 NO
9%91%
91% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+2 new YES$5+0 new NO$0
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2 is directional: YES $2·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$2
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+29.4%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$100
Avg Win Rate
81.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$71(+70.8%)
Whales
10
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 65¢·45.5 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $30 · WR 79.6%
H
haveagoodday🥈
Entry 64¢·31.5 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $20 · WR 86.6%
L
Loose-Alloy🥉
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $18 · WR 75.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 86.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·13.3 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $7 · WR 85.9%
R
Revolving-Stimulus-Pride
Entry 50¢·11.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $6 · WR 83.9%
C
0xc34fc382...
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 75.5%
F
forgotmydinner
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 75.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 11¢·0.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 89.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 5¢·0.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 88.2%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 985ms