85 days left
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,083,000 and $1,104,000 on December 31?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$2.5K
236 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 73 traders
What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on December 31?
7 MARKETS · $15.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs9 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $18 is directional: YES $16·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$39
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$15(-38.1%)
Whales
4
C
cloverpmq2🥇
Entry 81¢·28.2 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $23 · WR 61.3%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥈
Entry 14¢·89.8 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $13 · WR 63.5%
_
_test_i075_CAND_11b7🥉
Entry 16¢·17.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 58.8%
F
forgotmydinner
Entry 14¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 75.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$115
Avg Win Rate
82.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$69(+60.2%)
Whales
9
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 54¢·91.5 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $49 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 50¢·48 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $24 · WR 86.0%
R
Revolving-Stimulus-Pride🥉
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $18 · WR 83.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 85.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·13.3 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $7 · WR 85.9%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 86.2%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 79¢·3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 68.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 15¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 88.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 15¢·0.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 89.0%
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