Jovial-Diary · Polymarket wallet 0xf163…81fe

Wallet snapshot

Jovial-Diary has made 952 trades on Polymarket across 425 markets, $7,413 in volume. Most of it is in sports (12%) and politics (12%). On 400 resolved markets the win rate is 76%, lifetime P&L +$678. It holds 17 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Yes · $380 · 28¢ → 46¢
• Will United Torah Judaism win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes · $252 · 38¢ → 46¢
• US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No · $232 · 59¢ → 97¢
• OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?No · $214 · 46¢ → 71¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 60%-65%?No · $212 · 71¢ → 74¢
• Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?No · $200 · 74¢ → 92¢
• Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?Yes · $167 · 55¢ → 62¢
• Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire before the midterms?No · $126 · 74¢ → 80¢
• Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?No · $114 · 50¢ → 70¢
• Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Yes · $94 · 59¢ → 65¢

Latest closed positions

• Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?No · -$51 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kamala Harris by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$62 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Yes · +$1 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?No · +$41 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Étienne Grandmont win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?Yes · +$59 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes · +$15 · Oct 6, 2026

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