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Economics38 days left

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
44¢
44% implied
NO Price
56¢
56% implied
Volume
$2.17M
9,714 trades
Smart Whales
324
of 1,661 traders · 4 on both sides

Fed Decision in October?

7 MARKETS · $8.11M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

222 YESvs106 NO
68%32%
68% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 74% YES by dollars · 194 YES vs 26 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 63%· net of hedges
+63 new YES$27.3K+16 new NO$16.2K
$538 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
11 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1.2K of $379.7K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $278.9K·NO $99.7K
YES Team
Total Invested
$305.4K
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$72.7K(-23.8%)
Whales
222
E
Elastic-Universe🥇
Entry 52¢·118,000 shares
$-10369INV $61.7K · WR 70.0%
I
ImJustKen🥈
Entry 62¢·51,609.2 shares
$-9426INV $31.9K · WR 61.3%
Q
QMG-CORE🥉
Entry 77¢·33,700.2 shares
$-11224INV $25.9K · WR 80.9%
I
Imbleciar
Entry 52¢·36,999.9 shares
$-3045INV $19.1K · WR 75.0%
X
XAE12Archangelhedged
Entry 57¢·30,199.2 shares·also $13.4K on NO
$-4023INV $17.2K · WR 77.9%
K
KimJonEn
Entry 62¢·23,725 shares
$-4483INV $14.8K · WR 74.1%
P
PotatoKotato
Entry 65¢·22,477.2 shares
$-4853INV $14.6K · WR 63.9%
O
obakobakk
Entry 63¢·23,000.1 shares
$-4467INV $14.5K · WR 65.2%
F
Folletin
Entry 63¢·14,754.4 shares
$-2943INV $9.4K · WR 70.0%
P
puravida
Entry 51¢·14,000 shares
$-1035INV $7.1K · WR 60.3%
Showing top 10 of 222

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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