Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
YES Price
84¢
84% implied
NO Price
16¢
16% implied
Volume
$162.7K
3,358 trades
Smart Whales
128
of 504 traders
Lima Mayoral Election Winner
27 MARKETS · $524.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
70 YESvs58 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 53 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 96%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$2.7K+15 new NO$155
$97 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $36.9K is directional: YES $35.9K·NO $973YES Team
Total Invested
$38.3K
Avg Win Rate
77.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.0K(+13.0%)
Whales
70
A
Assured-Perfume🥇
Entry 95¢·9,166.1 shares
Invested
$8.7K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-1334
$-1334INV $8.7K · WR 75.2%
M
mrworldwide◆Proven🥈
Entry 89¢·9,080.1 shares
Invested
$8.1K
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-816
$-816INV $8.1K · WR 76.3%
M
megaforest🥉
Entry 72¢·10,643 shares
Invested
$7.7K
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$810
+$810INV $7.7K · WR 72.4%
M
MSFTQQQ
Entry 87¢·6,675.9 shares
Invested
$5.8K
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-496
$-496INV $5.8K · WR 84.6%
A
arjennnnn
Entry 93¢·3,199.7 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-394
$-394INV $3.0K · WR 87.5%
M
marchonnowhedged
Entry 28¢·5,772 shares·also $6.4K on NO
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$3213
+$3213INV $1.6K · WR 65.9%
2
2KTrade
Entry 95¢·445.4 shares
Invested
$423
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $423 · WR 81.0%
D
Davici
Entry 91¢·294.6 shares
Invested
$269
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $269 · WR 86.7%
J
jazier
Entry 96¢·207.1 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $199 · WR 75.8%
A
Aware-Athletehedged
Entry 12¢·1,697.9 shares·also $1.6K on NO
Invested
$199
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$1220
+$1220INV $199 · WR 81.8%
Showing top 10 of 70
NO Team
Total Invested
$14.2K
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.2K(-51.0%)
Whales
58
M
marchonnow🥇hedged
Entry 113¢·5,696.1 shares·also $1.6K on YES
Invested
$6.4K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-5488
$-5488INV $6.4K · WR 65.9%
A
Aware-Athlete🥈hedged
Entry 92¢·1,697.9 shares·also $199 on YES
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-1280
$-1280INV $1.6K · WR 81.8%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 49¢·2,663.7 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-873
$-873INV $1.3K · WR 85.8%
P
pkz
Entry 11¢·4,583.6 shares
Invested
$486
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$432
+$432INV $486 · WR 60.7%
J
JAMJAMJAM4
Entry 28¢·1,039 shares
Invested
$292
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-83
$-83INV $292 · WR 55.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 19¢·1,004.2 shares
Invested
$192
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $192 · WR 85.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 23¢·546 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $125 · WR 88.2%
P
Pure-Threat◆Proven
Entry 9¢·702.9 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $66 · WR 82.0%
A
adenakoz1
Entry 13¢·500 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $65 · WR 56.6%
E
estoicc
Entry 32¢·96 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $31 · WR 55.5%
Showing top 10 of 58
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