PoliticsResolved
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$229.0K
5,071 trades
Smart Whales
165
of 621 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
64 YESvs102 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 45% YES by dollars · 25 YES vs 25 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $8.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3.9K·NO $4.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$26.5K
Avg Win Rate
68.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$12.0K(+45.1%)
Whales
64
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥇hedged
Entry 74¢·5,895.8 shares·also $2.2K on NO
Invested
$4.4K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$1540
+$1540INV $4.4K · WR 55.3%
C
Crock95◆Proven🥈
Entry 99¢·3,073.6 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $3.0K · WR 59.7%
T
The-Joker◆Proven🥉
Entry 47¢·5,000.6 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$2667
+$2667INV $2.3K · WR 70.0%
M
mr.ozi◆Proven
Entry 96¢·1,914.8 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $1.8K · WR 71.4%
L
LulaVaiPerderhedged
Entry 72¢·2,566.4 shares·also $131 on NO
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
+$730
+$730INV $1.8K · WR 75.2%
6
65765757hedged
Entry 78¢·2,317.7 shares·also $608 on NO
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$506
+$506INV $1.8K · WR 78.2%
M
megaforest
Entry 32¢·4,733 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$3213
+$3213INV $1.5K · WR 72.4%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven
Entry 84¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$245
+$245INV $1.3K · WR 75.9%
M
Musk5
Entry 70¢·1,627.3 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$487
+$487INV $1.1K · WR 71.9%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 97¢·1,160.2 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $1.1K · WR 74.2%
Showing top 10 of 64
NO Team
Total Invested
$47.6K
Avg Win Rate
76.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$33.6K(-70.6%)
Whales
102
B
Bigggggggg🥇
Entry 44¢·14,973 shares
Invested
$6.6K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-6592
$-6592INV $6.6K · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 41¢·15,880.8 shares
Invested
$6.5K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-6537
$-6537INV $6.5K · WR 72.2%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 58¢·10,814.5 shares
Invested
$6.2K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-6233
$-6233INV $6.2K · WR 87.7%
C
conherence
Entry 75¢·5,556.8 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-4157
$-4157INV $4.2K · WR 58.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·5,487.5 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-2749
$-2749INV $2.7K · WR 85.9%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 38¢·5,935.8 shares·also $4.4K on YES
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-2230
$-2230INV $2.2K · WR 55.3%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 76¢·1,899.3 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1451
$-1451INV $1.5K · WR 79.2%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 72¢·1,837.6 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-1323
$-1323INV $1.3K · WR 56.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 81¢·1,123.1 shares
Invested
$906
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-906
$-906INV $906 · WR 79.6%
6
65765757hedged
Entry 26¢·2,317.7 shares·also $1.8K on YES
Invested
$608
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
$-608
$-608INV $608 · WR 78.2%
Showing top 10 of 102
Smart Whale Trades
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