Politics43 days left
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YES Price
61¢
61% implied
NO Price
39¢
39% implied
Volume
$2.84M
19,639 trades
Smart Whales
599
of 4,757 traders · 67 on both sides
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
2 MARKETS · $4.76M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
402 YESvs264 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 41% YES by dollars · 266 YES vs 73 NO taking a side · 61 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$2.9K+12 new NO$6.4K
$505 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
3 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 43% of the money is not a bet
$229.4K of $535.1K is held equally on both sides by 60 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $828 is hedged across different prices by 7 wallets. True directional: YES $124.6K·NO $180.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$259.0K
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$55.3K(+21.4%)
Whales
402
J
JustADonk🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·205,000 shares·also $102.5K on NO
Invested
$102.5K
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$21525
+$21525INV $102.5K · WR 56.4%
H
hell0pia🥈
Entry 61¢·24,537.2 shares
Invested
$14.9K
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $14.9K · WR 58.6%
L
Loyalty-Crash🥉
Entry 46¢·23,420.6 shares
Invested
$10.7K
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$3484
+$3484INV $10.7K · WR 62.9%
R
RememberAmalek
Entry 45¢·21,650.6 shares
Invested
$9.7K
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$3359
+$3359INV $9.7K · WR 65.2%
C
cryptoh01der7
Entry 58¢·15,654 shares
Invested
$9.1K
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$349
+$349INV $9.1K · WR 59.5%
S
ScarletRot
Entry 29¢·28,910.5 shares
Invested
$8.4K
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$9107
+$9107INV $8.4K · WR 69.4%
M
maxrol88
Entry 52¢·15,936.2 shares
Invested
$8.4K
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$1278
+$1278INV $8.4K · WR 61.8%
R
rwoboth sides
Entry 50¢·15,000 shares·also $7.5K on NO
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$1575
+$1575INV $7.5K · WR 83.1%
S
ScottyNooohedged
Entry 40¢·15,783.7 shares·also $348 on NO
Invested
$6.2K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$3313
+$3313INV $6.2K · WR 56.0%
M
mombil
Entry 60¢·10,166.7 shares
Invested
$6.1K
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $6.1K · WR 60.5%
Showing top 10 of 402
NO Team
Total Invested
$370.2K
Avg Win Rate
65.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$74.9K(-20.2%)
Whales
264
L
lomneivan🥇
Entry 54¢·220,519.7 shares
Invested
$119.0K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-31875
$-31875INV $119.0K · WR 71.4%
J
JustADonk🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·205,000 shares·also $102.5K on YES
Invested
$102.5K
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-21525
$-21525INV $102.5K · WR 56.4%
1
11122🥉
Entry 49¢·64,467.7 shares
Invested
$31.7K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-6205
$-6205INV $31.7K · WR 60.6%
R
risk-manager
Entry 48¢·27,608.8 shares
Invested
$13.3K
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
$-2388
$-2388INV $13.3K · WR 73.7%
U
UbuntuTrading
Entry 53¢·23,855.9 shares
Invested
$12.7K
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-3285
$-3285INV $12.7K · WR 66.4%
R
rwoboth sides
Entry 50¢·15,000 shares·also $7.5K on YES
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
$-1575
$-1575INV $7.5K · WR 83.1%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 57¢·7,838.9 shares
Invested
$4.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-1336
$-1336INV $4.4K · WR 85.8%
X
XAE12Archangel
Entry 42¢·10,508.8 shares
Invested
$4.4K
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
$-218
$-218INV $4.4K · WR 77.9%
B
bosshog
Entry 46¢·8,499.9 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
$-577
$-577INV $3.9K · WR 70.8%
M
macrosteaks
Entry 50¢·7,481 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-785
$-785INV $3.7K · WR 60.0%
Showing top 10 of 264
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